Pressures From Home and Abroad: Economic Sanctions and Target Government Response to Domestic Campaigns

Ryan Yu-Lin Liou, Amanda Murdie and Dursun Peksen

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2023, vol. 67, issue 2-3, 297-325

Abstract: What effect do economic sanctions have on target governments’ response to citizen campaigns? We assert that sanctions as a signal of international support for campaigners alter the bargaining environment between a target state and the campaign in ways that will likely draw more support from citizens and defections from the ruling base. This will in turn incentivize target leaders to be more conciliatory toward domestic campaigns with maximalist goals, especially when such campaigns are nonviolent. Results from a time-series, cross-national data analysis indicate that sanctions, particularly when they are enforced by multiple senders or with high cost, are effective in increasing the success rate of nonviolent campaigns. Given the plethora of sanctions research that points to their inefficacy and adverse effects, we show that sanctions could be an effective tool to extract concessions from governments facing nonviolent campaigns.

Keywords: civil resistance; economic sanctions; foreign policy; nonviolence; protest (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:67:y:2023:i:2-3:p:297-325

DOI: 10.1177/00220027221118249

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