 Does India Use Development Finance to Compete With China? A Subnational AnalysisGerda Asmus-Bluhm, Vera Z. Eichenauer, Andreas Fuchs and Bradley Parks Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2025, vol. 69, issue 2-3, 406-433 Abstract: China and India increasingly provide aid and credit to developing countries. This article explores whether India uses these financial instruments to compete for geopolitical and commercial influence with China. We build a new geocoded dataset of Indian government-financed projects in the Global South between 2007 and 2014 and combine it with data on Chinese government-financed projects. Our regression results for 2,333 provinces within 123 countries demonstrate that India’s Exim Bank is significantly more likely to locate a project in a given jurisdiction if China provided government financing there in the previous year. Since this effect is more pronounced in countries where India is more popular relative to China and where both lenders have a similar export structure, we interpret this as evidence of India competing with China. By contrast, we do not find evidence that China uses official aid or credit to compete with India through co-located projects. Keywords: development finance; foreign aid; official development assistance; official credits; South-South cooperation; China; India; geostrategic competition; geospatial analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:69:y:2025:i:2-3:p:406-433 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241228184 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Journal of Conflict Resolution from Peace Science Society (International) |
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