FluSurge—A Tool to Estimate Demand for Hospital Services during the Next Pandemic Influenza

Xinzhi Zhang, Martin I. Meltzer and Pascale M. Wortley
Additional contact information
Xinzhi Zhang: MS # D-59, CDC/NCID/OD/OS, 1600 Clifton Rd NE, Atlanta, GA 30333; phone: (404) 371-5364; fax: (404) 371-5445; XZhang4@cdc.gov
Martin I. Meltzer: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Office of Surveillance
Pascale M. Wortley: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Immunization Program

Medical Decision Making, 2006, vol. 26, issue 6, 617-623

Abstract: Purpose. To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. Methods. Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources. Results. Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity. Conclusions. Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic.

Keywords: delivery of health care; hospital planning; resource allocation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:medema:v:26:y:2006:i:6:p:617-623

DOI: 10.1177/0272989X06295359

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