Space-Time Consumer Modelling, Store Wars, and Retail Trading Hour Policy in Australia

Robert G. V. Baker
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Robert G. V. Baker: University of New England

Chapter 11 in Recent Developments in Spatial Analysis, 1997, pp 209-235 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Space-time modelling of aggregate consumer shopping behaviour has been put on the political agenda across Australia with the predictions of significant changes of `when’ and `where’ consumers, on aggregate, undertake their shopping trips in a deregulated trading hour environment. Originally conceived in Baker (1985), the retail aggregate space-time trip (RASTT) model is constructed around a differential equation of spatial and temporal operators, where space is partially differentiated once and time twice. The gravity model of trip distance and a periodic shopping-time function appear in the solutions of this equation. For the boundary conditions, the trading period was assumed constant, which was the case in the regulated pre-1992 Sydney shopping environment. Baker (1994a) showed that the gravity coefficient, P, and average visits per week k to a planned centre, were theoretically and empirically linked (as shown in the regression analysis of fifteen samples of five such centres in Sydney during 1980/81 and 1988/89). Furthermore, centre scale produced non-linearities in both the trip distance and frequency constructs, which allowed for the definition of a number of characteristics for aggregate consumption at smaller community planned centres (or ‘small’ centre behaviour) and larger regional planned centres (or ‘large’ centre behaviour).

Keywords: Shopping Centre; Shopping Behaviour; Centre Behaviour; Trading Period; Shopping Trip (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1997
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-03499-6_11

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