Escalation: Dynamics of Mutual Distrust

Christoph E. Mandl ()
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Christoph E. Mandl: University of Vienna

Chapter Chapter 13 in Managing Complexity in Social Systems, 2023, pp 135-141 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Arms races, predatory pricing, and conflictsConflict occur if what A does depends upon what B does, and what B does depends upon what A does. Such a vicious cycle is the defining element of the escalationSystems archetype systems archetypeArchetype. Escalation leads to exponential runaway. The question is whether such a systemSystem could settle. Is mutual deterrence a way to reach dynamic equilibrium? Escalation is a destructive dynamicDynamics that can lead to war or, in case of companies, to bankruptcy. Yearning for a sense of securitySecurity is at the core of what happens. This is a fundamental dilemma: the more companies or nations seek security and take precautions, the more the sense of security vanishes.

Date: 2023
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-30222-0_13

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