Realising Foresight Intelligence (FORINT): Advancing an Intelligence-Derived Foresight Framework

Bruce Garvey and Adam D. M. Svendsen
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Bruce Garvey: Strategy Foresight Limited
Adam D. M. Svendsen: Norwegian Defence University College (NDUC/FHS)

Chapter Chapter 12 in Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence, 2024, pp 247-269 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract This chapter provides a background overview introduction to Strategic Foresight, further distinguishing it from other closely related, yet also discernibly different, Forecasting and Futures Studies activities when it comes to varying situations and conditions of uncertainty. Showing where scenario development Strategic Options Analysis (SOA) can be applied, the chapter continues by elaborating further on the benefits and value of engaging with foresight activities for a wide range of different stakeholders and across many different business processes, as well as fostering a greater foresight mindset. The contextual background for foresight activities is covered next, including problem-definition work and how conditions of complexity can be navigated. Those last insights are conveyed before examining the questions of sources of data and intelligence, thereby introducing a series of Data Intelligence (DATINT) considerations taken into account in Foresight relevant contexts. These DATINT concerns have an immediate bearing on the wider area of Foresight Intelligence (FORINT) and its conduct, highlighting that those considerations being kept in mind offer substantial help when guiding future activities.

Keywords: Strategic Foresight definition; Uncertainty; Risk; Data; Data Intelligence (DATINT); Dark Data; Strategic Options Analysis (SOA) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-66115-0_12

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