Estimative/Probabilistic Language: Part II—Expanding the Range of Scenario Options

Bruce Garvey and Adam D. M. Svendsen
Additional contact information
Bruce Garvey: Strategy Foresight Limited
Adam D. M. Svendsen: Norwegian Defence University College (NDUC/FHS)

Chapter Chapter 6 in Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence, 2024, pp 87-105 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Following directly on from the previous chapter, Chap. 5 , titled: More than Semantics? Communication of (Un)certainty via ‘Estimative/Probabilistic Language’, this current chapter highlights several different estimative or probabilistic language phrases, which are tested together. This is done via conducting a Strategic Options Analysis (SOA)-related pair-wise analysis (PWA) exercise. Adopting the path introduced in Chap. 5 means that we can then ascertain which estimative/probabilistic language phrases are compatible or not—thereby offering some potential greater clarity in the communication of (un)certainty both to and for the benefit of end-users. The work undertaken here also demonstrates how ‘Estimative’ or ‘Probabilistic Language’ can perhaps be better deployed for decision-making purposes. At its very least, the work introduced here provides several further discussion points deserving of their further consideration as a guide relating to how estimative/probabilistic language conventions can potentially be further optimised in the future.

Keywords: Estimative/probabilistic language; Strategic Options Analysis (SOA); Pair-wise analysis (PWA); Communicating (un)certainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:mgmchp:978-3-031-66115-0_6

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/9783031661150

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-66115-0_6

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in Management for Professionals from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().