Potential Applications of Discrete-event Simulation and Fuzzy Rule-based Systems to Structural Reliability and Availability

Angel A. Juan (), Albert Ferrer (), Carles Serrat (), Javier Faulin (), Gleb Beliakov () and Joshua Hester ()
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Angel A. Juan: Open University of Catalonia
Albert Ferrer: Technical University of Catalonia
Carles Serrat: Technical University of Catalonia
Javier Faulin: Public University of Navarre
Gleb Beliakov: Deakin University
Joshua Hester: Open University of Catalonia

Chapter Chapter 9 in Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems, 2010, pp 199-214 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract This chapter discusses and illustrates some potential applications of discrete-event simulation (DES) techniques in structural reliability and availability analysis, emphasizing the convenience of using probabilistic approaches in modern building and civil engineering practices. After reviewing existing literature on the topic, some advantages of probabilistic techniques over analytical ones are highlighted. Then, we introduce a general framework for performing structural reliability and availability analysis through DES. Our methodology proposes the use of statistical distributions and techniques – such as survival analysis – to model component-level reliability. Then, using failure- and repair-time distributions and information about the structural logical topology (which allows determination of the structural state from their components’ state), structural reliability, and availability information can be inferred. Two numerical examples illustrate some potential applications of the proposed methodology to achieving more reliable and structural designs. Finally, an alternative approach to model uncertainty at component level is also introduced as ongoing work. This new approach is based on the use of fuzzy rule-based systems and it allows the introduction of experts’ opinions and evaluations in our methodology.

Keywords: Wind Turbine; Failure Probability; Structural Failure; Structural Reliability; Minimal Path (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssrchp:978-1-84882-213-9_9

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-84882-213-9_9

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