Analysis of Inspection Policies for Social Integration with Acceptance of Refugees

Takahito Araki (), Mitutaka Kimura () and Toshio Nakagawa
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Takahito Araki: Hiroshima University, Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences
Mitutaka Kimura: Aichi University, Faculty of Business Administration
Toshio Nakagawa: Aichi Institute of Technology, Department of Business Administration

A chapter in Applied Reliability and Statistical Modeling: Their Applications, 2026, pp 27-42 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Increased acceptance of immigrants and refugees is said to increase anti-immigrant sentiment and the risk of race riots. Nonetheless, contemporary countries face the need to rapidly accept large numbers of refugees resulting from civil wars in various regions. To suppress such sentiments, it is essential to periodically inspect the state of the social structure such as the sentiments of the people toward immigrants, and to make appropriately implement social integration policies based on such checks. Under the assumption that a large-scale riot indicates a social breakdown, the social structure is inspected periodically, and social integration policies are implemented when a riot occurs. In this light, we developed an inspection model and determined the optimal timing for social structure inspections that minimize the expected costs. However, these models did not consider situations where a large number of refugees must be accepted rapidly. In this chapter, when a sudden increase occurs with a certain probability, and the distributions of anti-immigrant sentiment and riot occurrence vary according to these probabilities, we obtain an optimal timing for social structure inspections by extending the inspection model.

Date: 2026
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-032-21331-0_2

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