Gamblers or Risk-Averse? Competitive Authoritarianism, the Centre–Periphery Cleavage and Nationalist Revisionism in Russia and Turkey

Barbara Pisciotta and Daniela Huber

Europe-Asia Studies, 2025, vol. 77, issue 4, 561-587

Abstract: Revisionism is a growing phenomenon, particularly in imperial successor states. In this article, we ask which factors transform dissatisfied powers into nationalist revisionists. We hypothesise that this is determined by military capabilities as a necessary variable, the presence of an authoritarian regime as an enabling variable, and the centre–periphery cleavage as a driving factor. Comparing the most different cases of Russia and Turkey, we find that both presidents have concentrated the decision to resort to military force in their hands by bypassing or splitting the opposition. Whilst Russia appears to be a gambler, Turkey has been more risk-averse.

Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1080/09668136.2025.2492815

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