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Stochastic service life cycle analysis using customer reviews

Juram Kim and Changyong Lee

The Service Industries Journal, 2017, vol. 37, issue 5-6, 296-316

Abstract: This study proposes a stochastic service life cycle analysis to gauge where a service is in its life cycle and to give forecasts about its future prospects. We employ customer review data to measure customer-oriented service maturity and use a hidden Markov model to estimate the probability of a service being at a certain stage of its life cycle. Based on this, we also develop three indicators to represent the future prospects of a service’s life cycle progression. The main advantages of the proposed approach lie in its ability to model different shapes of life cycles without any supplementary information and to examine a wide range of services at acceptable levels of time and cost. We believe our method will assist firms in building stage-customised post-launch service strategies. A case study of mobile game services in the Apple App Store is presented.

Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:servic:v:37:y:2017:i:5-6:p:296-316

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DOI: 10.1080/02642069.2017.1316379

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The Service Industries Journal is currently edited by Eileen Bridges, Professor Domingo Ribeiro, Ronald Goldsmith, Barry Howcroft and Youjae Yi

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