Economic Growth and the Volatility of Foreign Aid
Michal Chervin and
Sweder van Wijnbergen
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Michal Chervin: University of Amsterdam
No 10-002/2, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute
Abstract:
Foreign aid’s effectiveness in promoting economic growth remains mired in controversy.We examine the impact of the volatility of aid on economic growth, controlling for the level of aid. A four-year panel analysis is conducted encompassing 155 countries over the period 1966-2001. We find that once the volatility of aid is controlled for, aid has a positive impact on economic growth. Correspondingly, volatility of aid flows is found to be negatively related to growth. We found no significant link between investment and foreign aid, but a positive correlation between aid and consumption and a negative link between aid volatility and consumption. But our results also indicate that aid has become a source of volatility rather than insuring against it, and in that way may have become inimical to economic growth.
Keywords: foreign aid; volatility; economic growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O11 O19 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-01-04
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tin:wpaper:20100002
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