Scalable Demand and Markups
Enghin Atalay,
Erika Frost,
Alan Sorensen,
Christopher Sullivan and
Wanjia Zhu
Journal of Political Economy, 2026, vol. 134, issue 8, 2488 - 2522
Abstract:
We study changes in markups across 70 product markets from 2006 to 2018. A growing literature has documented rising markups using a production function approach. We instead estimate demand and invert firms’ first-order pricing conditions to infer markups. To make the method scalable, we propose estimating nested logit demand models using household panel data to automate the assignment of products to nests. We find an overall upward trend in markups, with considerable heterogeneity across and within product markets. These increases are primarily driven by changes in firms’ marginal costs and households’ price sensitivity instead of changes in firm ownership.
Date: 2026
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Working Paper: Scalable Demand and Markups (2023) 
Working Paper: Scalable Demand and Markups (2023) 
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