Job Turnover and Policy Evaluation: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Hugo Hopenhayn and Richard Rogerson

Journal of Political Economy, 1993, vol. 101, issue 5, 915-38

Abstract: Recent empirical work indicates that job creation and destruction rates are large, implying significant amounts of job reallocation across firms. This paper builds a general equilibrium model of this reallocation process, calibrates it using data on firm-level dynamics, and evaluates the aggregate implications of policies that interfere with this process. We find that a tax on job destruction at the firm level has a sizable negative impact on total employment: a tax equal to 1 year's wages reduces employment by roughly 2.5 percent. More striking, however, are the welfare consequences: the cost in terms of consumption of this same tax is greater than 2 percent. Copyright 1993 by University of Chicago Press.

Date: 1993
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