Resilience in adversity: How social policies amend labor and capital mobility in the face of extreme weather events

Vinicius Schuabb, Pedro Chaves Maia, Valdemar Pinho Neto, Sergio Guimarães and Paulo Tafner

No wp-2025-74, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: This paper examines how social policy shapes mobility responses to extreme weather events. We study Brazil's conditional cash transfer programme, Bolsa Família, and its impact on the relocation decisions of vulnerable households exposed to extreme rainfall. We assemble a novel dataset linking georeferenced household and firm records to high-resolution precipitation data, climate vulnerability maps, and federally recognized disaster reports, covering 858 municipalities from 2015 to 2020.

Keywords: Weather shock; Conditional cash transfers; Resilience; Labour market (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev, nep-env and nep-inv
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