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The experience of retroalternative prognosing of socio-economic systems development (on the example of agricultureal complex of Sverdlovskaya area in 1990 years)

Vladimir Bersenyov () and Aleksey Gorst

Economy of region, 2007, vol. 1, issue 2, 33 - 43

Abstract: This article demonstrates the heuristic opportunities for analysing regional social-economic systems by using the methods of retro-alternativistics. The article also substantiates the methodological aspects of using cliometrics for modelling economic processes which never took place in the past. On the basis of retro-alternative forecasting method the counterfact imitation modelling of agricultural development in the Middle Urals in 1995 − 1998 has been accomplished.

Date: 2007
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