Challenges to the Acceptance of Probabilistic Risk Analysis

Vicki M. Bier

Risk Analysis, 1999, vol. 19, issue 4, 703-710

Abstract: This paper discusses a number of the key challenges to the acceptance and aplication of probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). Those challenges include:(a) the extensive reliance on subjective judgment in PRA, requiring the development of guidance for the use of PRA in risk‐informed regulation, and possibly the development of “robust” or “reference” prior distributions to minimize the reliance on judgment; and (b) the treatment of human perfor‐mance in PRA, including not only human errorperse but also management and organizational factors more broadly. All of these areas are seen as presentinginteresting research challenges at the interface between engineering and other disciplines.

Date: 1999
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.1999.tb00440.x

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:riskan:v:19:y:1999:i:4:p:703-710

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