A fractional SIS model for a random process about infectivity and recovery

Hui Chen (), Jia Li () and Xuewen Tan
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Hui Chen: Department of Mathematics, Yunnan Minzu University, 2929, Yuehua Street, Chenggong District, Kunming 650500, P. R. China
Jia Li: Department of Mathematics, Yunnan Minzu University, 2929, Yuehua Street, Chenggong District, Kunming 650500, P. R. China
Xuewen Tan: Department of Mathematics, Yunnan Minzu University, 2929, Yuehua Street, Chenggong District, Kunming 650500, P. R. China

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), 2025, vol. 36, issue 10, 1-29

Abstract: This paper establishes a new fractional frSIS model utilizing a continuous time random walk method. There are two main innovations in this paper. On the one hand, the model is analyzed from a mathematical perspective. First, unlike the classic SIS infectious disease model, this model presents the infection rate and cure rate in a fractional order. Then, we proved the basic regeneration number R0 of the model and studied the influence of orders a and b on R0. Second, we found that frSIS has a disease-free equilibrium point E0 and an endemic equilibrium point E∗. Moreover, we proved frSIS global stability of the model using R0. If R0<1, the model of E0 is globally asymptotically stable. If R0>1, the model of E∗ is globally asymptotically stable. On the other hand, from the perspective of infectious diseases, we discovered that appropriately increasing a and decreasing b are beneficial for controlling the spread of diseases and ultimately leading to their disappearance. This can help us provide some dynamic adjustments in prevention and control measures based on changes in the disease.

Keywords: Fractional; continuous time random walk; infection rate; cure rate; global stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1142/S0129183124420051

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