Bread, peace and the attrition of power: Economic events and German election results

Irem Batool and Gernot Sieg

No 3, Economics Department Working Paper Series from Technische Universität Braunschweig, Economics Department

Abstract: Aggregate votes for incumbent parties in post-war Germany were determined by the weighted-average growth of real per capita disposable income. Each percentage point of per capita real disposable income growth sustained over the legislative term yielded approximately two percentage points of votes in Germany. No other economic variables add value or significantly perturb the coefficients of our model. However, attrition of power reduced the vote share in election years 1961, 1994 and 1998.

Keywords: bread and peace model; elections; vote share; real per capita disposable income growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E6 H11 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Bread and the attrition of power: Economic events and German election results (2009)
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