The Popularity Function: A Spurious Regression? The Case of Austria

Reinhard Neck () and Friedrich Schneider ()

VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change from Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association

Abstract: In this paper we apply the unit root and cointegration methodology of modern econometric time series analysis to estimated popularity functions for the Austrian parties in government since the mid-1970s. We find no evidence for and rather strong evidence against influences of unemployment or inflation on the popularity of the political parties in the federal government, thereby challenging previous studies that claimed to have established such influences. The usefulness of the applied methodology to clarify such questions is demonstrated by this example.

JEL-codes: C22 D72 D78 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/145470/1/VfS_2016_pid_6246.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The popularity function: a spurious regression? The case of Austria (2024)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:vfsc16:145470

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