The long-run effects of Conditional Cash Transfers: The case of Bolsa Familia in Brazil

Luis Laguinge, Leonardo Gasparini and Guido Neidhöfer

No 25-022, ZEW Discussion Papers from ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Abstract: Conditional Cash Transfers (CCTs) have become a key antipoverty policy in Latin America in the last 25 years. The ultimate goal of this kind of programs is to break the intergenerational transmission of poverty through the promotion of human capital accumulation of children in vulnerable households. In this paper, we explore this issue by estimating the long-run effects of the largest CCT in Latin America: the Brazilian Bolsa Familia. Through a combination of the two-stage-two-sample method and a difference-in-differences approach, we find evidence consistent with a positive long-run impact of Bolsa Familia among former beneficiaries. In particular, we find a significant positive effect on education and labor income, and a negative effect on the likelihood of being a current beneficiary of this social transfer.

Keywords: Conditional cash transfers; long term effects; human capital formation; Bolsa Familia; Brazil; Latin America (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D04 I38 J24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/319892/1/1929040830.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: The Long-Run Effects of Conditional Cash Transfers: the Case of Bolsa Familia in Brazil (2025)
Working Paper: The Long-Run Effects of Conditional Cash Transfers: the Case of Bolsa Familia in Brazil (2024)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zewdip:319892

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