EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

One in a Million: Field Experiments on Perceived Closeness of the Election and Voter Turnout

Alan Gerber, Mitchell Hoffman, John Morgan and Collin Raymond

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2020, vol. 12, issue 3, 287-325

Abstract: During the 2010 gubernatorial elections, we elicit voter beliefs about the closeness of the election before and after showing different polls, which, depending on treatment, indicate a close or not-close race. Subjects update their beliefs in response to polls, but overestimate the probability of a very close election. However, turnout is unaffected by beliefs about election closeness. A follow-up RCT, conducted during the 2014 gubernatorial elections at much larger scale, also points to little relationship between poll information about closeness and turnout. We caveat that the strength of our evidence depends on assumptions regarding our treatments' impacts on beliefs.

JEL-codes: C93 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/app.20180574 (application/pdf)
https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/app.20180574.data (application/zip)
https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/app.20180574.appx (application/pdf)
https://www.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/app.20180574.ds (application/zip)
Access to full text is restricted to AEA members and institutional subscribers.

Related works:
Working Paper: One in a Million: Field Experiments on Perceived Closeness of the Election and Voter Turnout (2017) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aea:aejapp:v:12:y:2020:i:3:p:287-325

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.aeaweb.org/journals/subscriptions

DOI: 10.1257/app.20180574

Access Statistics for this article

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics is currently edited by Alexandre Mas

More articles in American Economic Journal: Applied Economics from American Economic Association Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Michael P. Albert ().

 
Page updated 2022-09-27
Handle: RePEc:aea:aejapp:v:12:y:2020:i:3:p:287-325