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Currency Development through Liquidity Provision

Antonio Coppola, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Chenzi Xu

AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2025, vol. 115, 599-604

Abstract: Drawing on the experiences of the historical Eurodollar market and recent Chinese dollar bond issuances traded outside US jurisdiction at negative spreads to Treasuries, we examine the conditions under which a parallel offshore dollar financial system that circumvents Western sanctions may emerge. We propose a model in which liquidity provision and a safe bond supply drive currency use. We characterize three equilibrium regimes: High convenience yields emerge in both the initial sanctions-driven region and the final liquidity-driven region, separated by an intermediate region. Transitions between equilibria depend on safe-asset supply and liquidity technologies, in addition to endogenous dynamic complementarities.

JEL-codes: D74 E42 E44 F30 F51 P34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251042

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