AEA Papers and Proceedings

2018 - 2024

Current editor(s): William Johnson and Kelly Markel

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Volume 114, month May, 2024

President's Foreword pp. xi-

Janet Currie

Editors' Introduction pp. xii-

William Johnson and Tina Lippert

The Economics of the Global Energy Challenge pp. 1-30

Michael Greenstone

Is the World Running Out of Fresh Water? pp. 31-35

Tamma Carleton, Levi Crews and Ishan Nath

Do Earmarks Target Low-Income and Minority Communities? Evidence from US Drinking Water pp. 36-40

David A. Keiser, Bhashkar Mazumder, David Molitor, Joseph Shapiro and Brant J. Walker

The Changing Nature of Pollution, Income, and Environmental Inequality in the United States pp. 41-46

Jonathan Colmer, Suvy Qin, John Voorheis and Reed Walker

Sea Level Rise and Urban Inequality pp. 47-51

Allan Hsiao

Measuring the Market for Legal Firearms pp. 52-57

Luis Armona and Adam M. Rosenberg

Employment and Earnings of Men at High Risk of Gun Violence pp. 58-64

Max Kapustin, Monica P. Bhatt, Sara B. Heller, Marianne Bertrand and Christopher Blattman

Will Wealth Weaken Weather Wars? pp. 65-69

Marshall Burke, Joel Ferguson, Solomon Hsiang and Edward Miguel

Social Media as an Identity Barometer: Evidence From the Russia-Ukraine War pp. 70-74

Serhii Abramenko, Vasily Korovkin and Alexey Makarin

Refugees Are Hosted in Highly Vulnerable Communities pp. 75-79

C. Austin Davis, Paula López-Peña, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak and Jaya Y. Wen

The Intensifying Effects of Prolonged Climate Change on Conflict, 1400–1900 CE pp. 80-83

Murat Iyigun, Joris Mueller and Nancy Qian

The Slanted-L Phillips Curve pp. 84-89

Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson

Origins of US Inflation pp. 90-94

Christopher A. Sims

The NY Fed DSGE Model: A Post-COVID Assessment pp. 95-100

Marco Del Negro, Keshav Dogra, Aidan Gleich, Pranay Gundam, Donggyu Lee, Ramya Nallamotu and Brian Pacula

What Do Long Data Tell Us about the Permanent Component of Inflation? pp. 101-05

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe

What Drives US Import Price Inflation? pp. 106-11

Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki and David E. Weinstein

Supply Disruptions and Fiscal Stimulus: Transmission through Global Value Chains pp. 112-17

François de Soyres, Alexandre Gaillard, Ana Maria Santacreu and Dylan Moore

Import Constraints pp. 118-23

Diego Comin, Robert Johnson and Callum Jones

Vertical Spillovers in Global Value Chains pp. 124-29

Swapnika Rachapalli

Export-Platform FDI: Cannibalization or Complementarity? pp. 130-35

Pol Antràs, Evgenii Fadeev, Teresa C. Fort and Felix Tintelnot

Aggregation Bias in the Measurement of US Global Value Chains pp. 136-42

Aaron Flaaen, Fariha Kamal, Eunhee Lee and Kei-Mu Yi

Exorbitant Privilege and the Sustainability of US Public Debt pp. 143-47

Jason Choi, Duong Dang, Rishabh Kirpalani and Diego J. Perez

Borrowing from China and Sovereign Credit Risk pp. 148-52

Illenin Kondo, Astghik Mkhitaryan and Cesar Sosa-Padilla

Digital Assets and the Exorbitant Dollar Privilege pp. 153-56

Marina Azzimonti and Vincenzo Quadrini

Global Spillovers from Fed Hikes and a Strong Dollar: The Risk Channel pp. 157-62

José Cristi, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan, Mariana Sans and Filiz Unsal

Race, Police Violence, and Financial Decision-Making pp. 163-68

Vicki L. Bogan, Lisa Kramer, Chi Liao and Alexandra Niessen-Ruenzi

Setting the Record Straight on Racial Wealth Inequality pp. 169-73

Fenaba R. Addo, William A. Darity and Samuel L. Myers

Gender and Racial Behavior in Consumer Payment Methods under Economic Uncertainty pp. 174-79

Raffi E. Garcia and Jyothsna G. Harithsa

Racial Wealth Inequality and Access to Care with High-Deductible Health Insurance pp. 180-85

Naomi Zewde

Analytic Approaches to Measuring the Black-White Wealth Gap pp. 186-90

Jermaine Toney, Fenaba R. Addo and Darrick Hamilton

What Explains Black Employment Dynamics? pp. 191-95

Karl Boulware and Kenneth N. Kuttner

Shocking Offers: Gender, Wage Inequality, and Recessions in Online Labor Markets pp. 196-200

Belinda Archibong and Peter Blair Henry

Racial Disparities in the US Mortgage Market pp. 201-04

Agustin Hurtado and Jung Sakong

What's in a Name? Can Name-Blind Evaluation Reduce Bias in AP Course Recommendation? pp. 205-09

Dania V. Francis, Angela C. M. de Oliveira and Carey Dimmitt

American Indian Wealth in the Early Twentieth Century pp. 210-14

Donn. L. Feir, Maggie E. C. Jones and Angela Redish

Examining the Long-Run Impacts of Racial Terror with Data on Historical Lynchings of Mexicans in Texas pp. 215-20

Francisca M. Antman and Brian Duncan

Reassessing the Spatial Mismatch Hypothesis pp. 221-25

David Card, Jesse Rothstein and Moises Yi

Half Empty and Half Full? Women in Economics and the Rise in Gender-Related Research pp. 226-31

Francisca M. Antman, Kirk Doran, Xuechao Qian and Bruce Weinberg

Moving in Academia: Who Moves and What Happens After? pp. 232-37

Melany Gualavisi, Marieke Kleemans and Rebecca Thornton

Parenthood and Academic Career Trajectories pp. 238-42

Anne Sophie Lassen and Ria Ivandić

The Influence of COVID-19 on Young Women's Labor Market Aspirations and Expectations in India pp. 243-47

S Anukriti, Catalina Herrera-Almanza and Sophie Ochmann

Is the Gender Pay Gap Largest at the Top? pp. 248-53

Ariel Binder, Amanda Eng, Kendall Houghton and Andrew Foote

Thinking about Parents: Gender and Field of Study pp. 254-58

Michela Carlana and Lucia Corno

The Gender Wage Gap: Skills, Sorting, and Returns pp. 259-64

John Humphries, Juanna Joensen and Gregory Veramendi

Marriage Equality and the Transnational Flow of Skilled Labor: The Impact of Same-Sex Marriage Legalization in the United States on the Inflow of Skilled Labor pp. 265-69

Koroles Awad and Jill McCluskey

LGBTQ+ Homeownership in the United States pp. 270-73

Ana H. Kent and Sophia C. Scott

Family Matters: Exposure to Gender-Affirming or Gender-Denying Practices Following Gender Identity Milestones pp. 274-78

Travis Campbell, Samuel Mann, Yana van der Meulen Rodgers and Nathaniel M. Tran

Matching Patterns among Same-Sex and Different-Sex Couples in Latin America pp. 279-83

Ercio Muñoz Saavedra and Dario Sansone

Navigating Policy Specificity in Academia: The Evolution of Sexual Harassment Policies around #MeToo pp. 284-91

Marina Gertsberg

Impact versus Inclusion in the Economics Profession: Insights from the Papers and Proceedings pp. 292-99

Cynthia Bansak, Wendy Dunn, Ellen Meade and Martha Starr

Racial Inequality and Publication in Economics pp. 300-304

Marlène Koffi, Roland Pongou and Leonard Wantchekon

Teaching-Track Economists in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States pp. 305-13

Fabio Arico, Alvin Birdi, Avi Cohen, Caroline Elliott, Tisha Emerson, Gail Hoyt, Cloda Jenkins, Ashley Lait, Jennifer Murdock and Christian Spielmann

Teaching-Track Faculty at US National Universities pp. 314-17

Tisha L. N. Emerson and Gail M. Hoyt

Teaching-Track Economists: A Canadian Perspective pp. 318-22

Jennifer Murdock and Avi Cohen

Teaching-Track Economists in the United Kingdom pp. 323-27

Fabio Arico, Alvin Birdi, Caroline Elliott, Cloda Jenkins, Ashley Lait and Christian Spielmann

The Linear Algebra of Economic Geography Models pp. 328-33

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

The Traveling Trucker Problem pp. 334-39

Treb Allen, David Atkin, Santiago Cantillo Cleves and Carlos Eduardo Hernández

Affordability of Owner-Occupied Housing across US Cities pp. 340-45

Rebecca Diamond and William Diamond

Heterogeneity in Corporate Tax Incidence by Worker Characteristics pp. 346-51

Patrick J. Kennedy, Christine L. Dobridge, Paul Landefeld and Jacob Mortenson

A Simple Model of Corporate Tax Incidence pp. 352-57

Dustin Swonder and Damián Vergara

Who Benefits from State Corporate Tax Cuts? A Local Labor Market Approach with Heterogeneous Firms: Further Results pp. 358-63

Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato and Owen Zidar

Transgender Transitioning and Responsiveness to Policy: Evidence from the Netherlands pp. 364-68

Elisa de Weerd, John Cawley and Hans van Kippersluis

The Impact of Hormonal Contraception on Teen Suicide pp. 369-74

Kelly Ragan

Does Reducing Early School Tracking Affect Health Behaviors? pp. 375-80

Serena Canaan

The Impact of COVID-19 on Fertility in Spain pp. 381-86

Libertad Gonzalez and Sofia Trommlerová

The Lasting Impacts of School Shootings on Youth Psychotropic Drug Use pp. 387-93

Max Pienkny, Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell and Hannes Schwandt

Spillovers and Training Effects on Mental Health Prescribing for Children pp. 394-400

Janet Currie, W. Bentley MacLeod and Mengsong Ouyang

Early Home Visiting Delivery Model and Maternal and Child Mental Health at Primary School Age pp. 401-06

Gabriella Conti, Sören Kliem and Malte Sandner

Maternal Mental Health Responses to COVID-19 Shocks and Uncertainty in Rural Pakistan pp. 407-11

Michelle Escobar Carias, Victoria Baranov, Joanna Maselko, Pietro Biroli and Sonia Bhalotra

Depression, Poverty, and Economic Shocks: Evidence from India pp. 412-17

Manuela Angelucci and Daniel Bennett

The Economic Burden of Dementia in India pp. 418-22

Marco Angrisani, Maria Casanova, Jinkook Lee and Erik Meijer

Air Pollution and Mental Health: Evidence from China pp. 423-28

Shuai Chen, Paulina Oliva and Peng Zhang

The Impact of Family Tax Benefits on Children's Health and Educational Outcomes pp. 429-34

Michael Baker, Kourtney Koebel and Mark Stabile

Tribal Casinos and Identifying Who Moves to Opportunity pp. 435-41

Emilia Simeonova, Randall Akee and Maggie R. Jones

Who Is Financially Constrained in Their Choice of Contraceptive Method? Lessons from M-CARES pp. 442-48

Martha Bailey, Lea Bart, Alexa Prettyman, Vanessa Wanner Lang and Vanessa Dalton

Family Structure and Childcare in Sub-Saharan Africa pp. 449-53

Aletheia Donald, Sara Lowes and Julia Vaillant

Who Uses Childcare Centers? Evidence from Burkina Faso pp. 454-58

Kehinde F. Ajayi, Aziz Dao, Estelle Koussoubé and P. Rita Nikiema

Long-Term Effects of Preschool Subsidies and Cash Transfers on Child Development: Evidence from Uganda pp. 459-62

Kjetil Bjorvatn, Denise Ferris, Selim Gulesci, Arne Nasgowitz, Vincent Somville and Lore Vandewalle

The Impacts of Childcare Interventions on Children's Outcomes in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review pp. 463-66

David K. Evans, Pamela Jakiela and Amina Mendez Acosta

Synergistic Impacts of Expansions in Pre-K Access and School Funding on Student Achievement: Evidence from California's Transitional Kindergarten Rollout pp. 467-73

Rucker C. Johnson

In Search of Dynamic Complementarities between Early and Later Education: Evidence from North Carolina's Pre-K and K–12 School Funding Reforms pp. 474-79

Jade M. Jenkins, Tyler W. Watts and Kenneth A. Dodge

The Effect of Early Childhood Programs on Third-Grade Test Scores: Evidence from Transitional Kindergarten in Michigan pp. 480-85

Jordan Berne, Brian Jacob, Tareena Musaddiq, Anna Shapiro and Christina Weiland

Tailoring Mentorship: Evidence on Diverse Needs and Application Patterns for High School Students pp. 486-91

Caterina Calsamiglia, Javier Garcia-Brazales and Annalisa Loviglio

Auditability in School Choice pp. 492-96

Aram Grigoryan and Markus Möller

Diversity Balance in Centralized Public School Admissions pp. 497-501

Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Aram Grigoryan

Research Design with Weighted Lotteries in School Choice pp. 502-06

Atila Abdulkadiroğlu and Inkoo Back

Residential versus Online? Experimental Evidence on Diversifying the STEM Pipeline pp. 507-11

Sarah Cohodes, Helen Ho, Elizabeth Huffaker and Silvia C. Robles

Reparative Ripple Effects? Exploring the Impacts of Sibling Exposure to School-Based Restorative Justice pp. 512-16

Anjali Adukia, Benjamin Feigenberg and Fatemeh Momeni

Getting Students to Show Up: Generational Differences in the Effect of Teachers on Black and White Student Absences pp. 517-22

Nhu Nguyen, Ben Ost and Javaeria A. Qureshi

Differences in Teachers' Assessments of Students by English Learner Status pp. 523-27

Maria Zhu

Demographic Diversity and Economic Research: Fields of Specialization and Research on Race, Ethnicity, and Inequality pp. 528-34

Francisca M. Antman, Kirk Doran, Xuechao Qian and Bruce Weinberg

Student Debt Relief and Racial Wealth Gaps pp. 535-39

Gerald E. Daniels, Jeffrey Galloway and Venoo Kakar

Immigration Policies, Backlash, and School Bullying pp. 540-45

Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes and Esther Arenas-Arroyo

DOJ Intervention and the Checkpoint Shift: Profiling Hispanic Motorists under the Section 287(g) Program pp. 546-49

Joaquin Alfredo-Angel Rubalcaba, Alberto Ortega and Prentiss A. Dantzler

Heterogeneous Effects of Monetary Policy on Job Flows across Income, Race, Gender, and Age pp. 550-54

Ester Faia, Ekaterina Shabalina and David Wiczer

Monopsony Amplifies Distortions from Progressive Taxes pp. 555-60

David Berger, Kyle Herkenhoff, Simon Mongey and Negin Mousavi

Heterogeneous Responses to Job Mobility Shocks in a HANK Model with a Frictional Labor Market pp. 561-66

Serdar Birinci, Fatih Karahan, Yusuf Mercan and Kurt See

The Effects of Unemployment Insurance Caseworkers on Job Search Effort pp. 567-71

Amelie Schiprowski, Julia Schmidtke, Johannes Schmieder and Simon Trenkle

Risk Scores for Long-Term Unemployment and the Assignment to Job Search Counseling pp. 572-76

Sebastian Ernst, Andreas Mueller and Johannes Spinnewijn

Employment Effects of Job Search Assistance for the Long-Term Unemployed pp. 577-81

Lionel Cottier, Yves Flückiger, Pierre Kempeneers and Rafael Lalive

Creating the "American Way" of Business: Evidence from WWII in the United States pp. 582-85

Michela Giorcelli

Global Managers, Local Workers: Wage Setting inside a Multinational Firm pp. 586-91

Virginia Minni

Regional Differences in Public-Sector Productivity and Managerial Talent pp. 592-96

Alessandra Fenizia

Negative Weights Are No Concern in Design-Based Specifications pp. 597-600

Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull

Event Studies with a Continuous Treatment pp. 601-05

Brantly Callaway, Andrew Goodman-Bacon and Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

(Empirical) Bayes Approaches to Parallel Trends pp. 606-09

Soonwoo Kwon and Jonathan Roth

Difference-in-Difference Estimators with Continuous Treatments and No Stayers pp. 610-13

Clément de Chaisemartin, Xavier D'Haultfoeuille and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

Temporal Aggregation for the Synthetic Control Method pp. 614-17

Liyang Sun, Eli Ben-Michael and Avi Feller

Comparative Advantage of Humans versus AI in the Long Tail pp. 618-22

Nikhil Agarwal, Ray Huang, Alex Moehring, Pranav Rajpurkar, Tobias Salz and Feiyang Yu

The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Algorithms pp. 623-27

Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan and Ashesh Rambachan

Algorithmic Fairness and Social Welfare pp. 628-32

Annie Liang and Jay Lu

Algorithmic Recommendations When the Stakes Are High: Evidence from Judicial Elections pp. 633-37

Victoria Angelova, Will Dobbie and Crystal S. Yang

Constructing Confidence Intervals for BIFSG Disparity Estimates pp. 638-43

Elena Derby, Connor Dowd and Jacob Mortenson

Marriage Penalties and Bonuses by Race and Ethnicity: An Application of Race and Ethnicity Imputation pp. 644-48

Rachel Costello, Portia DeFilippes, Robin Fisher, Ben Klemens and Emily Y. Lin

Refundable Credits by Race/Hispanic Ethnicity, Income, and Filing Status pp. 649-54

Julie-Anne Cronin, Portia DeFilippes and Robin Fisher

Using Multiple Data Sources to Learn about the Race and Ethnicity of Taxpayers pp. 655-59

Rebecca Heller, Shannon Mok, James Pearce and Jonathan Rothbaum

Change Behavior, Motivation Will Follow(?): Acquired Taste and Incentives pp. 660-65

Gretchen Chapman and Uri Gneezy

Go Vegan? Prejudice, (Blind) Experimentation, and Food Choices pp. 666-71

Michèle Belot and Adelson Teh

Sleep Norms pp. 672-77

Osea Giuntella, Andrea Kiss and Stephanie W. Wang

A Model of Harmful Yet Engaging Content on Social Media pp. 678-83

George Beknazar-Yuzbashev, Rafael Jiménez-Durán and Mateusz Stalinski

Media Slant and Public Policy Views pp. 684-89

Milena Djourelova, Ruben Durante, Elliot Motte and Eleonora Patacchini

Beyond the Stats: Realities, Perception, and Social Media Discourse on Poverty pp. 690-96

Paul Bose, Lorenzo Lupo, Mahyar Habibi, Dirk Hovy and Carlo Schwarz

Minutes of the Annual Business Meeting, San Antonio, TX, January 5, 2024 pp. 697-700

Peter Rousseau

Report of the Secretary pp. 701-05

Peter Rousseau

Report of the Treasurer pp. 706-11

Peter Rousseau

American Economic Association 2023–2024 Universal Academic Questionnaire Summary Statistics pp. 712-16

John J. Siegfried, Elizabeth Braunstein and Elsie Goren

Note from the AEA Secretary-Treasurer about the Proceedings Supplement pp. 717-

Peter Rousseau

Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee via Zoom, April 28, 2023 pp. 719-25

Peter Rousseau

Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee, San Antonio, TX, January 4, 2024 pp. 726-33

Peter Rousseau

Report of the Editor, American Economic Review pp. 734-50

Erzo F.P. Luttmer

Report of the Editor, American Economic Review: Insights pp. 751-60

Amy Finkelstein

Report of the Editor, Journal of Economic Literature pp. 761-66

David Romer

Report of the Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives pp. 767-69

Heidi Williams

Report of the Editor, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics pp. 770-79

Benjamin Olken

Report of the Editor, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy pp. 780-90

Lucas Davis

Report of the Editor, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics pp. 791-99

Simon Gilchrist

Report of the Editor, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics pp. 800-07

Navin Kartik

Report of the Director, Job Openings for Economists pp. 808-10

John J. Siegfried

Report of the Committee on Economic Education pp. 811-17

KimMarie McGoldrick

Report of the Committee on Economic Statistics pp. 818-21

Karen Dynan

Report of the Committee on Government Relations pp. 822-24

Kenneth Troske

Report of the Committee on the Job Market pp. 825-28

John Cawley

Report of the Committee on the Status of LGBTQ+ Individuals in the Economics Profession pp. 829-30

Lee Badgett and Kitt Carpenter

Report of the Committee on the Status of Minority Groups in the Economics Profession pp. 831-52

Gary A. Hoover and Ebonya Washington

Report of the Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession pp. 853-77

Anusha Chari

Report of the AEA Data Editor pp. 878-90

Lars Vilhuber

Report of the AEA Ombudsperson pp. 891-93

Leto Copeley

Report of the Search Committee for the Editor for the American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics pp. 894-

Valerie Ramey