Brookings Papers on Economic Activity

1970 - 2019

From Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution
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Volume 50, issue 1 (Spring), 2019

On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World Keywords: stagnation, fiscal policy, economic recovery, industrial economy. market indicators, interest rates, monetary policy, regulatory policy pp. 1-76

Lukasz Rachel and Lawrence Summers

Volume 49, issue 2 (Fall), 2018

The European Central Bank’s Monetary Policy during Its First 20 Years pp. 1-146

Philipp Hartman and Frank Smets

Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends: Market Power, Intangibles, and Risk Premia pp. 147-250

Emmanuel Farhi and Francois Gourio

The Real Effects of Disrupted Credit: Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis pp. 251-342

Ben S. Bernanke

The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output pp. 343-441

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Mauricio Ulate

Should the Federal Reserve Regularly Evaluate Its Monetary Policy Framework? pp. 443-517

Jeffrey Fuhrer, Giovanni Olivei, Eric S. Rosengren and Geoffrey M.B. Tootell

Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound: Less Potent? More International? More Sticky? pp. 521-541

Kristin Forbes

The Efficacy of Large-Scale Asset Purchases When the Short-Term Interest Rate Is at Its Effective Lower Bound pp. 543-554

James D. Hamilton

The Federal Reserve Is Not Very Constrained by the Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates pp. 555-572

Eric Swanson

Comments on Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound pp. 573-579

Janet Yellen

Symposium on Monetary Policy at the Effective Lower Bound: General Discussion pp. 580-588

Participants Bpea

Volume 49, issue 1 (Spring), 2018

Is Automation Labor Share–Displacing? Productivity Growth, Employment, and the Labor Share pp. 1-87

David Autor and Anna Salomons

Safety Nets Investments in Children pp. 89-150

Hilary Hoynes and Diane Schanzenbach

Jobs for the Heartland: Place-Based Policies in 21st-Century America pp. 151-255

Benjamin Austin, Edward Glaeser and Lawrence Summers

Macroeconomic Effects of the 2017 Tax Reform pp. 257-345

Robert Barro and Jason Furman

Liquidity Crises in the Mortgage Market pp. 347-428

You Suk Kim, Steven Laufer, Karen Pence, Richard Stanton and Nancy Wallace

Mortgage Market Design: Lessons from the Great Recession pp. 429-513

Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru

Volume 48, issue 2 (Fall), 2017

Where Have All the Workers Gone? An Inquiry into the Decline of the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate pp. 1-87

Alan Krueger

Investmentless Growth: An Empirical Investigation pp. 89-190

German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

The Rise, Fall, and Resurrection of Iceland: A Postmortem Analysis of the 2008 Financial Crisis pp. 191-308

Sigríður Benediktsdóttir, Gauti Eggertsson and Eggert Þórarinsson

The European Trust Crisis and the Rise of Populism pp. 309-400

Yann Algan, Sergei Guriev, Elias Papaioannou and Evgenia Passari

Options for Corporate Tax Reform in 2017 pp. 401-408

Martin Feldstein

Demystifying the Destination-Based Cash-Flow Tax pp. 409-432

Alan Auerbach

A Macroeconomic Perspective on Border Taxes pp. 433-447

Gita Gopinath

Business Tax Burdens and Tax Reform pp. 449-471

James Hines

General Discussion: Symposium on Business Tax Reform pp. 472-477

Participants Bpea

Strengthening and Streamlining Bank Capital Regulation pp. 479-565

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam

Volume 48, issue 1 (Spring), 2017

The Disappointing Recovery of Output after 2009 pp. 1-81

John Fernald, Robert Hall, James H. Stock and Mark Watson

The Rise and Fall of U.S. Low-Skilled Immigration pp. 83-168

Gordon Hanson, Chen Liu and Craig McIntosh

Is Europe an Optimal Political Area? pp. 169-234

Alberto Alesina, Guido Tabellini and Francesco Trebbi

Safety, Liquidity, and the Natural Rate of Interest pp. 235-316

Marco Del Negro, Domenico Giannone, Marc Giannoni and Andrea Tambalotti

Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World pp. 317-396

Michael Kiley and John Roberts

Mortality and Morbidity in the 21st Century pp. 397-476

Anne Case and Angus Deaton

Volume 47, issue 2 (Fall), 2016

Rules versus Discretion: A Reconsideration pp. 1-55

Narayana Kocherlakota

Understanding Bank Risk through Market Measures pp. 57-127

Natasha Sarin and Lawrence Summers

The Long Shadow of China’s Fiscal Expansion pp. 129-181

Chong-En Bai, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Zheng (Michael) Song

Macroeconomic Effects of Disruptions in Global Food Commodity Markets: Evidence for the United States pp. 183-286

Jasmien De Winne and Gert Peersman

Lower Oil Prices and the U.S. Economy: Is This Time Different? pp. 287-357

Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian

The Initial Economic Impact of Brexit: An Update to Early December 2016 pp. 359-366

Maurice Obstfeld

Brexit's Long-Run Effects on the U.K. Economy pp. 367-383

John van Reenen

General Discussion: Symposium on Brexit and the Global Economy pp. 394-402

Participants Bpea

Volume 47, issue 1 (Spring), 2016

Credit Policy as Fiscal Policy pp. 1-57

Deborah Lucas

Learning from Potentially Biased Statistics pp. 59-108

Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

Does the United States Have a Productivity Slowdown or a Measurement Problem? pp. 109-182

David Byrne, John Fernald and Marshall B. Reinsdorf

Understanding Declining Fluidity in the U.S. Labor Market pp. 183-259

Raven Molloy, Christopher Smith, Riccardo Trezzi and Abigail Wozniak

Measuring Income and Wealth at the Top Using Administrative and Survey Data pp. 261-331

Jesse Bricker, Alice Henriques, Jacob Krimmel and John Sabelhaus

Income Inequality, Social Mobility, and the Decision to Drop Out of High School pp. 333-396

Melissa S. Kearney and Phillip Levine

Volume 46, issue 2 (Fall), 2015

A Crisis in Student Loans? How Changes in the Characteristics of Borrowers and in the Institutions They Attended Contributed to Rising Loan Defaults pp. 1-89

W. Looney and Constantine Yannelis

“Dynamic Scoring”: Why and How to Include Macroeconomic Effects in Budget Estimates for Legislative Proposals pp. 91-149

Douglas Elmendorf

Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand pp. 151-225

Saten Kumar, Hassan Afrouzi, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Weather-Adjusting Economic Data pp. 227-278

Michael Boldin and Jonathan Wright

Greek Debt Sustainability and Official Crisis Lending pp. 279-305

Julian Schumacher and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

The Pitfalls of External Dependence: Greece, 1829–2015 pp. 307-328

Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

Greek Budget Realities: No Easy Option pp. 329-347

Christopher L. House and Linda L. Tesar

Is the Greek Crisis One of Supply and Demand? pp. 349-373

Yannis Ioannides and Christopher Pissarides

General Discussion: Symposium on the Greek Debt Crisis pp. 374-383

Participants Bpea

Overcoming the Lost Decades? Abenomics after Three Years pp. 385-431

Joshua Hausman and Johannes Wieland

Looking for a Success in the Euro Crisis Adjustment Programs: The Case of Portugal pp. 433-458

Ricardo Reis

Volume 46, issue 1 (Spring), 2015

Deciphering the Fall and Rise in the Net Capital Share: Accumulation or Scarcity? pp. 1-69

Matthew Rognlie

Welfare and Distributional Implications of Shale Gas pp. 71-139

Catherine Hausman and Ryan Kellogg

Risk Management for Monetary Policy Near the Zero Lower Bound pp. 141-219

Charles Evans, Jonas Fisher, Francois Gourio and Spencer Krane

Economic Analysis and Statistical Disclosure Limitation pp. 221-293

John Abowd and Ian Schmutte

Grasp the Large, Let Go of the Small: The Transformation of the State Sector in China pp. 295-366

Chang-Tai Hsieh and Zheng (Michael) Song

Support for Redistribution in an Age of Rising Inequality: New Stylized Facts and Some Tentative Explanations pp. 367-433

Vivekinan Ashok, Ilyana Kuziemko and Ebonya Washington