Is a Recession Ahead? The Models Say Yes, but the Mind Says No

Edward Leamer

The Economists' Voice, 2007, vol. 4, issue 1, 5

Abstract: Models based on leading indicators suggest that a recession is almost certainly imminent, but Edward Leamer, a prominent econometrician, distrusts the econometrics and argues that the housing slump will be confined to that sector.

Date: 2007
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DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1239

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