Predicting the Quality and Prices of Bordeaux Wine*

Orley Ashenfelter

Journal of Wine Economics, 2010, vol. 5, issue 1, 40-52

Abstract: Bordeaux wines have been made in much the same way for centuries. This article shows that the variability in the quality and prices of Bordeaux vintages is predicted by the weather that created the grapes. The price equation provides a measure of the real rate of return to holding wines (about 2–3% per annum) and implies far greater variability in the early or ‘en primeur’ wine prices than is observed. The analysis provides a useful basis for assessing market inefficiency, the effect of climate change on the wine industry and the role of expert opinion in determining wine prices. (JEL Classification: D43, Q11)

Date: 2010
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/ ... type/journal_article link to article abstract page (text/html)

Related works:
Journal Article: Predicting the Quality and Prices of Bordeaux Wine (2008)
Journal Article: Predicting the Quality and Prices of Bordeaux Wine (2008)
Working Paper: Predicting the quality and prices of Bordeaux wines (2007)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cup:jwecon:v:5:y:2010:i:01:p:40-52_00

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Journal of Wine Economics from Cambridge University Press Cambridge University Press, UPH, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS UK.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Kirk Stebbing ().