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Eurozone crisis and BRIICKS stock markets: Contagion or market interdependence?

Wasim Ahmad, Sanjay Sehgal and N R Bhanumurthy ()

Economic Modelling, 2013, vol. 33, issue C, 209-225

Abstract: This paper examines the financial contagion in an emerging market setting by investigating the contagion effects of GIPSI (Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy), USA, UK and Japan markets on BRIICKS (Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China, South Korea and South Africa) stock markets. During Euro-zone crisis period (October 19, 2009–January 31, 2012), the empirical results indicate that among GIPSI countries, Ireland, Italy and Spain appear to be most contagious for BRIICKS markets compared to Greece. The study reports that Brazil, India, Russia, China and South Africa are strongly hit by the contagion shock during the Eurozone crisis period. However, Indonesia and South Korea report only interdependence and not contagion. From policy perspective, the findings provide useful implications for possible decoupling strategies to insulate the economy from contagious effects. For multilateral organizations like International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, the study will provide an important direction in undertaking coordinated rescue measures for the vulnerable as well as contagious countries.

Keywords: Emerging stock markets; Financial contagion; Dynamic conditional correlations (DCC–GARCH); Financial crisis; Eurozone crisis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:33:y:2013:i:c:p:209-225

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.009

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