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Cost-effective mortgage modification program to reduce mortgage defaults

Jiseob Kim and Taejun Lim

Economic Modelling, 2021, vol. 96, issue C, 220-241

Abstract: What is the most cost-effective mortgage modification program to reduce mortgage defaults? To shed light on this question and evaluate the Home Affordable Modication Program (HAMP) initiated in 2009, we present a quantitative model where home-buying households can take out a mortgage loan whose price is endogenously determined to reflect the mortgage contract terms—maturity, per-period payment, and amortization scheme—as well as the default risk. We conduct an experiment in which (i) a series of house price shocks are plugged into the model economy to generate the housing market crash, mirroring the recent financial crisis, and (ii) three alternative government-funded mortgage modification programs, each associated with a change in maturity, per-period payment, or amortization scheme, are introduced and compared. We find that the amortization reschedule is the most cost-effective way of implementing a modification program, followed by the payment reduction and the term extension.

Keywords: Mortgage modification; Foreclosure; HAMP (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E21 E44 G01 G21 G28 R21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:96:y:2021:i:c:p:220-241

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.12.030

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