Ecological Modelling

2007 - 2026

Current editor(s): Brian D. Fath

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2026, volume 519, articles C

A model of macroalgal decomposition

Luka Seamus Wright

Bird migration and energetics simulations incorporating oil spill effects

Benjamin M. West, Mark L. Wildhaber, Wayne E. Thogmartin and Michael J. Hooper

Evaluating an individual‑based model’s ability to reproduce fine‑scale spatial structure in boreal mixed forests

Animesh Ghose, Philippe Marchand, Kobra Maleki and Miguel Montoro Girona

A system dynamics model to understand the integrated ecological and human dimensions of managing chronic wasting disease

Stephanie R. Penk, Christine Anhalt-Depies, Richard E.W. Berl, Thomas S. Fiddaman, Kawika Pierson, Jennifer L. Price Tack, Bryan J. Richards, Erica Rieder, Daniel J. Storm, C. LeAnn White and Daniel P. Walsh

Understanding feedbacks in social–ecological systems using non-recursive structural equation models

Fabio Bozzeda and Omar Defeo

Towards an energy budget based toxicokinetic-toxicodynamic model for insect-plant interactions

André Gergs, Dagmar Brattig, Franco Fois and Christian Marienhagen

The relax-hurry spectrum: Specific somatic maintenance depends on seasonal dynamics of food

Konstadia Lika, Starrlight Augustine and Sebastiaan A.L.M. Kooijman

A model for heat and light stress in photosynthesis

Ferdinand Pfab, Ross Cunning, A. Raine Detmer, Clarissa F. Frederica, Louis J. Irving, Holly V. Moeller and Roger M. Nisbet

Systemic operative framework to support the integration of urban agriculture and socio-ecological resilience in informal settlements: A dynamic urban metabolism approach to food security

Alejandra Acevedo-De-los-Ríos, Anna Dyson, Damien Claeys and Ursula Cardenas-Mamani

Modelling ecosystem response in the climate change era: the potential distribution of Natura 2000 priority habitat types in Greece under future climate scenarios

Alexandros D. Kouris, Athanasios S. Kallimanis, Panayotis Dimopoulos and Ioannis P. Kokkoris

Ecological management zoning based on ecological security and ecosystem vulnerability in the important ecological functional area—A case study in the Yellow River Basin

Rongping Liang, Wei Wei, Xiaoxu Wei, Binbin Xie, Junju Zhou and Wei Shi

Why deterministic trait-based models may misrepresent the expected spatiotemporal dynamics of Hyalomma marginatum under uncertainty

Komi Mensah Agboka, Iman Brema Hassaballa, Steve B.S. Baleba, Tobias Landmann, Elfatih M. Abdel-Rahman and Souleymane Diallo

Agricultural landscapes supporting conservation planning: Spatial prioritization of conservation areas for farmland birds

Luu Van Thong Trac, Chen-Fa Wu and Chien-Ying Lin

Gulf of Guinea shrimp larvae can enter Nokoué lagoon by passive transport

Amoussou Sylvain Gozingan, Zacharie Sohou, Léo Barbut, Olivier Gourgue, Frédéric Bonou, Ezinvi Baloïtcha and Geneviève Lacroix

Dynamic energy budget modeling reveals reproductive collapse of an Amazonian catfish under dam-induced environmental change

Erival Gonçalves Prata, Gonçalo M. Marques, André Felipe Alves de Andrade, Daniel Konn-Vetterlein, Luciano Fogaça de Assis Montag, Tânia Sousa and Tiago Magalhães da Silva Freitas

A spatial, agent-based model to explore mechanisms of bluetongue virus persistence at the interface of domestic and wildlife ruminant populations

Geonsik Yu, Carly Barbera, Mollie Burton, Jeremy Alder, George Wittemyer, Christie Mayo and T. Alex Perkins

Lévy foraging hypothesis is a model artefact

Graham H. Pyke, Andrew G. Kepert and William J. Chivers

Deciphering culprits for cyanobacterial blooms and lake vulnerability in north-temperate lakes

Jacob Serpico, B.A. Zambrano-Luna, Christopher M. Heggerud, Alan Hastings, Russell Milne and Hao Wang

A comprehensive review of uncertainty in multi-regional input–output modelling

Mohamed Badr, Konstantin Stadler and Juudit Ottelin

Mathematical modeling of common-pool resources: A comprehensive review of bioeconomics, strategic interaction, and complex adaptive systems

Zebiao Li, Rui Liu and Chengyi Tu

Embracing uncertainty: Ensemble models of sea lice larval dispersal

Tim M. Szewczyk, Dmitry Aleynik, Helena C. Reinardy, Kim S. Last and Andrew C. Dale

Cumulative ecological effects of cascade reservoir operation: A multi-life-stage fish habitat perspective

Jianhua Liu, Hongwei Fang, Lei Huang, Zhiwen Huang, Peng Zhang and Guojian He

Investigating climate-driven variability of a small pelagic fishery off the Indian west coast using a population dynamic model

Vinu Valsala, Inakonda Veera Ganga Bhavani and Faseela Hamza

Towards the development of standard models for ecological risk assessment: an agent-based model of fathead minnow

Chiara Accolla, Paul R. Glaum, Nika Galic and Maxime Vaugeois

Three-dimensional numerical simulation of soil stabilization effects by different root morphologies and analysis of bank stability

Nian-feng Tian, Ling-kai Zhang and Jin Sun

A spatial birth–death process to model sessile organisms

Ian Flint, Peter Vesk, Yan Wang and Aihua Xia

Net ecosystem exchange in Central Argentina: A 10-year analysis using the VPRM-WRF model

R.A. Merino, M.I. Gassmann, N.E. Tonti, M. Covi, C.F. Pérez and G. Posse

Bayesian integrated population model of Baltic grey seals (Halichoerus grypus grypus) informs on population carrying capacity and the impact of Baltic herring (Clupea harengus membras) on reproduction

Milena Vanko, Inari Helle, Mervi Kunnasranta, Markus P. Ahola, Britt-Marie Bäcklin, Anja M. Carlsson, Linnea Cervin, Sara Persson and Jarno Vanhatalo

Contribution of drivers to erosion rate changes in a coal mining area of arid regions

Xuting Yang, Pengfei Li, Wanqiang Yao, Shaohua Wang, Ruidi Zheng and Dayu Zhang

Remote sensing integrated modeling of fall armyworm parasitoid interactions in Africa using fractional differential equations

Marian Adan, Steeven Belvinos Affognon, Henri E.Z. Tonnang, Klaus Greve, Christian Borgemeister and Georg Goergen

Advancing the EPIC model for glyphosate and AMPA fate prediction across different agroecosystems

Giovanna Piazzon, Matteo Longo, Francesco Morari and Nicola Dal Ferro

Metawebs as a tool to connect ecology and biogeography: A critical review

Frederico Mestre and Vinicius Augusto Galvão Bastazini

Bridging the data gap: Integration of spatial modelling in wildlife disease surveillance

Sara R. Wijburg, Hein Sprong, Jolianne M. Rijks, Andrea Gröne, Joaquín Vicente Baños, Egil A.J. Fischer, Graham C. Smith and Miriam Maas

Movement-based ecological network design based on realistic simulation by individual-based model: an opportunity for process-based ecological network design with real conservation efficacy

Mengyang Wang and Xue-yi You

Assessing models for estimating future forest biodiversity and ecosystem service provision in support of Integrative Forest Management

Sina Reuter, Verena C. Griess, Jasper M. Fuchs, Volodymyr Trotsiuk, David I. Forrester, Janine Schweier and Olalla Díaz-Yáñez

An animal welfare index based on productivity-entropy/extropy measurements

Arnulfo Domínguez-Hernández, Juan Bory-Reyes, Martha Elena Domínguez-Hernández and Elisa Domínguez-Hernández

Stepwise versus gradual deterioration: Consequences for evolutionary rescue

Rodrigo A.S. Ribeiro, Osmar Freitas, José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho and Paulo R.A. Campos

Corrigendum to “Systemic operative framework to support the integration of urban agriculture and socio-ecological resilience in informal settlements: A dynamic urban metabolism approach to food security” [Ecological Modelling Volume 519 (2026) Start page–End page/Article number 111632]

Alejandra Acevedo-De-los-Ríos, Anna Dyson, Damien Claeys and Ursula Cardenas-Mamani

From model divergence to robust decisions: Integrating structural uncertainty into local-scale forest management in Catalonia, Spain

Irina Cristal, Jose Ramon Gonzalez-Olabarria and Jordi Garcia-Gonzalo

Insights into population dynamics of fish populations using growth transition matrices

Mahmood Jokar and Sam Subbey

Reaction-network modeling of restoration pathways in semi-arid agroecosystems

Stephan Peter and Bashar Ibrahim

2026, volume 518, articles C

Simulating wildfire propagation in Central Europe - Evaluation of input data variation and parameter adjustment for the PhyFire model

Katrin Kuhnen, Maria Isabel Asensio, José Manuel Iglesias, José Manuel Cascón, Mariana Silva Andrade, Mortimer Maximilian Müller, Herbert Formayer and Harald Vacik

Irradiance modulates coral thermal thresholds shaping bleaching dynamics across the Red Sea

Yannis Hatzonikolakis, Eleni Livanou, Konstadia Lika, Yixin Wang, Elamurugu Alias Gokul, Marianthi Pateraki, Dionysios E. Raitsos and Ibrahim Hoteit

Data-Driven Modeling to predict forest fire spread in the Patagonian region in Argentina

Lucas Becerra, Monica Malen Denham, Alejandro B. Kolton and Karina Laneri

A general DDE model for terrestrial arthropods: from theory to validation guidelines under controlled conditions

Luca Rossini, Zeinab Sweidan, Nuray Baser, Marta Corbetta, Tito Caffi, Gianfranco Anfora, Stefania Gualano, Vittorio Rossi, Franco Santoro and Emanuele Garone

Modelling Asparagopsis nitrogen bioremediation efficiency in Australian coastal environments

Tormey Reimer, Katherine A. Cresswell, Kate M. Fraser, Camille A. White and Scott A. Hadley

Economic viability and environmental trade-off of sequential transitions from conventional aquaculture to partial and fully integrated multi-trophic aquaculture in Bangladesh

Joshua Aboah, Mohammed Abdul Baten Bhuyain, Mohammed Shawquat Ali, Mahfuzul A.B.M. Haque, Esther Magondu, Mariska Bottema and Rodrigue Yossa

Multi-agent simulation of Sphenophorus levis infestation and natural biological control with Beauveria bassiana and Steinernema brazilense in sugarcane cultivation

Rayanna Barroso de Oliveira Alves, Diego Bogado Tomasiello, Cláudia Maria de Almeida, David Luciano Rosalen, Luiz Henrique Pereira, Hernande Pereira da Silva and Cesar Leandro Rodrigues

2026, volume 517, articles C

Forecasting bryozoan assemblage dynamics under simulated climate change

Mira Baer, Korinna T. Allhoff, David K.A. Barnes and Franziska Koch

Advantages of experiential legacies are determined by interaction of environment and life history: A matrix-model approach

L. Zoe Almeida and Elizabeth A. Marschall

Robust allocation of fire management resources towards threatened species conservation under uncertainty

Patrick J. Lawton, Gregory A. Backus, Miranda Brooke Rose, Janet Franklin, Santiago José Elías Velazco, Alexandra D. Syphard and Helen M. Regan

Spatial boundaries of urban agriculture and its potential impacts on regulating ecosystem services: The case of Bartın, Türkiye

Cansu Dinçtürk and Sebahat Açıksöz

Climate change and soybean production: A regional evaluation in the Northwestern part of Türkiye

Bilge Arslan, Şerife Tülin Akkaya Aslan and Burak Şen

On the misuse, and possible use, of stranding data in habitat suitability models: a comment on Meirelles et al. (2026)

Nicholas W. Daudt

Irrigation buffers climate influence: Stable parameter sensitivities in APSIM-wheat under warm-temperate monsoon conditions

Hongqin Wang, Lei Li, Jiaxue Li, Jinbiao Xiang and Yong He

Preparing for tomorrow: A protocol for tree species parameterization in dynamic vegetation models

Gina Marano, Maximiliano Costa, Harald Bugmann, Verena C. Griess, Andreas Rudow and Olalla Díaz-Yáñez

An optimization framework for planning forest road restoration under carbon, fragmentation, and operational trade-offs

Alejandro Vega-Escobar, François Girard and Osvaldo Valeria

Mechanistic and spatio-temporal modelling of cassava whitefly (Bemisia tabaci) risk under climate change: Projections for Africa with case evidence from Malawi

Lumbani Benedicto Banda, Frank Thomas Ndjomatchoua, Ritter A. Guimapi, Komi Mensah Agboka, Abdelmutalab G.A. Azrag, Wezi G. Mhango, Trust Kasambala Donga, Chikondi Makwiza, Karl H. Thunes and Elfatih M. Abdel-Rahman

A new model for secondary plant succession based on the herbaceous communities of soil mounds on the Tibetan Plateau

Dexiecuo Ai, Annette Ostling, M.D. Farnon Ellwood and Wenjin Li

Measurement and prediction of water-energy-food-economy-ecology coupling coordination degree in Shandong Province, China

Chenjun Zhang, Man Li, Xiangyang Zhao, Yuze Wang and Keyi Ju

Benchmarking soil organic carbon in Australian rangelands: climate-driven stability and transparent upscaling for national accounting

Chiara Pasut, Brendan Malone, Sabastine Ugbaje, Nick Shepherd, Daniel Zwartz, Daniel Pagendam and Senani Karunaratne

Models reveal the importance of alternative hosts and environmental transmission for emergence of bacterial disease in muskoxen in the Arctic

Juan S. Vargas Soto, Marina Reyne, McCaide Wooten, Sreejith Radhakrishnan, Fabien Mavrot, Susan Kutz, Taya Forde and Eric R. Morgan

Effects of organic carbon and phosphorus on lake food web dynamics: A modelling study

Vlastimil Křivan, Jiří Nedoma and Sed’a, Jaromír

Dispersal as a stabilizing force against adaptation-induced oscillations under climate warming

Viviana Rivera-Estay, Taranjot Kaur and Fernanda S. Valdovinos

Modelling the control of West Nile virus using mosquito reduction methods, equid vaccination, and human behavioural adoption of personal protective equipment

Pride Duve, Felix Gregor Sauer and Renke Lühken

Dispersal and founder effects shape yellow hawkweed invasion in patagonian rangelands: Insights from a spatially explicit spread model

Tamara Leibovich, Fernando Biganzoli and Pablo A. Cipriotti

Modeling and analysis of locust hoppers dynamics under olfactory receptor 35 deficiency

Haruto Maeda, Yang Bai, Naoki Wakamiya and Masaki Ogura

Nonlinear effects of landscape pattern and forest structure on subtropical forest ecosystem services: Evidence from Jiangxi Province, China

Xiaogang Wu, Chen Ge and Yuanxin Liu

Multi-parameter kinetic optimization of Chlorella vulgaris for enhanced CO₂ sequestration and biomass production

Angel Mary Thomas and Vahid Razaviarani

A model-data synergy framework for assessing and enhancing runoff control in sponge cities: Sensitivity-driven calibration and multi-tiered monitoring integration

Guorui Wu, Jia Guo, Nan Ni, Suhui Wang, Songwen Yang, Rui Wang and Liang Feng

From carbon sink to carbon source: evaluating Portuguese forest carbon dynamics under improved accounting methodologies

L. Tesch, B.S. Bandarra, H. Craveiro and H. Gervásio

Chaotic dynamics and its linear feedback control in a predator–prey interaction model with predation fear and wind flow effect using Physics Informed Neural Networks

Purnendu Sardar, Sudipta Sarkar, Biswadip Pal, Santosh Biswas, Chandrani Mukherjee and Krishna Pada Das

Extending GUTS to account for oral exposure in bees: Preconditions, model options, and evaluation of published approaches

Tjalling Jager

A review of dynamics in spatial savanna models

Xenia Sterl, Els Weinans, Anna van der Kaaden, Arjen Doelman and Max Rietkerk

A parsimonious Adaptive Dynamics model of insect partial bivoltinism and phenology

Pietro Landi, Tosin Samuel Osikoya, Philipp Lehmann, Karl Gotthard and Cang Hui

Can large language models implement agent-based models? An ODD-based replication study

Nuno Fachada, Daniel Fernandes, Carlos M. Fernandes and João P. Matos-Carvalho