Ecological Modelling

2007 - 2025

Current editor(s): Brian D. Fath

From Elsevier
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2025, volume 505, articles C

Predicting frugivore generated seed rain in different environmental contexts: a modelling approach applied to a forest specialist

Eduardo M. Zanette, Ronald B. Bialozyt, Mayara M. Santos, Anne Sophie de Almeida e Silva, Felipe Bufalo, Olivier Kaisin, Yness Messaoudi, Mirela Alcolea, Eckhard W. Heymann and Laurence Culot

Dynamic energy budget (DEB) parameter estimation for the globally invasive Quagga Mussel (Dreissena rostriformis bugensis)

T. Pu, S.S. Keretz, A.K. Elgin, C.M. Godwin, M.D. Rowe, H.J. Carrick, P.W. Glyshaw, R.M. Pietscher and H.A. Vanderploeg

Anatomy of the last days of a long transient spatial pattern: The ecological mechanism by which a traveling wave spatial patterns may end

Linhao Xu and Donald L. DeAngelis

Analysis of the impact of fear in the presence of additional food and prey refuge with nonlocal predator–prey models

Sangeeta Saha, Swadesh Pal and Roderick Melnik

Modeling China's carbon emission reduction trajectory and peak path using a system dynamic approach

Ruoyu Dong, Cong Fu, Yan Liu, Yanqing Xu and Kenan Li

Current bioclimatic suitability and climate change impacts on the risk of cacao moniliasis invasion in Pará

Vandeilson Belfort Moura, Lucionila Pimentel Pantoja, Euclides Holanda Cavalcante Filho, Rafael Antônio Haber, Victor Leandro-Silva, Deborah Luciany Pires Costa, Miguel Alves Júnior, Tayssa Menezes Franco, Maryelle Kleyce Machado Nery, Matheus Lima Rua and Paulo Jorge de Oliveira Ponte de Souza

Modeling water quality and cyanobacteria blooms in Lake Okeechobee: II. Dynamics of diurnal cycles and impacts of cyanobacteria diel vertical migration

Mingshun Jiang, Jennifer Cannizzaro, Malcolm N. McFarland, Zackary Wistort, Jordon S. Beckler, Chuanmin Hu and Timothy Moore

Optimising profits from timber harvest and the biodiversity conservation value in a central European beech forest using a novel bioeconomic forestry model

Markus E. Schorn, Martin F. Quaas, Hanna Schenk, Christian Wirth and Nadja Rüger

Spatially explicit individual-based model reveals the mauve stinger jellyfish distribution in the Mediterranean Sea

Martin Vodopivec and Alenka Malej

Coral bleaching dynamics on the Great Barrier Reef: New insights from a mathematical model

Kaitlyn Brown, Robyn P. Araujo, Paul Corry and Adrianne L. Jenner

Explicit predictions of species richness from net primary productivity: setting and discussion

Allen G. Hunt

Combining national forest inventories reveals distinct role of climate on tree recruitment in European forests

Louis A. König, Frits Mohren, Mart-Jan Schelhaas, Julen Astigarraga, Emil Cienciala, Roman Flury, Jonas Fridman, Leen Govaere, Aleksi Lehtonen, Adriane E. Muelbert, Thomas A.M. Pugh, Brigitte Rohner, Paloma Ruiz-Benito, Susanne Suvanto, Andrzej Talarczyk, Miguel A. Zavala, Jose Medina Vega, Igor Staritsky, Geerten Hengeveld and Gert-Jan Nabuurs

Drivers of aboveground biomass in Quercus wutaishanica Mayr forests based on random forest and structural equation modeling: A cross-scale analysis

Shuaishuai Ma, Huayong Zhang, Zhongyu Wang, Hengchao Zou and Xiaona Xu

Spatiotemporal decoupling of CO₂ and warming effects in arid grasslands: Grazing-mediated vulnerabilities in Central Asia (2005–2050)

Shihua Zhu, Ziwei Pei, Yachun Li, Xin Hang and Meng Xu

Forecasting the risk of Phytophthora cinnamomi related-decline in Mediterranean forest ecosystems under climate change scenarios

Adrián Cidre-González, Francisco José Ruiz-Gómez, Francisco Javier Bonet and Pablo González-Moreno

Improving process-based modeling of crop production in the DayCent ecosystem model with solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence

Wenguang Sun, Stephen M. Ogle, Yao Zhang, Andrew E. Schuh, Ian T Baker, Troy S. Magney, Francis Ulep and Shahriar S. Heydari

Unveiling the impacts of noise pollution on marine fish community dynamics

Liyun Hou, Yan Lu, Nuo Xu and Lai Zhang

Construction and evaluation of the Panjin wetland ecological network based on the minimum cumulative resistance model

Yujia Lu, Qian Cheng and Meiqing Wang

Evaluating comprehensive watershed management sustainability based on the emergy ecological footprint model: A case study of Hainan Island, China

Xudong Lu, Jiadong Chen, Jianchao Guo, Hui Wu, Qin Zuo, Yizhuang Chen, Xian Huang and Shi Qi

Estimating stomatal conductance under drought: Parameterizing a phenomenological model and evaluating roles of the energy balance equation

Qian Liu, Fangmin Zhang and Xinyou Yin

A generalized wildfire containment algorithm

Mark A. Finney, Scott N. Zimmer, Karin L. Riley and Isaac C. Grenfell

2025, volume 504, articles C

Numerical simulation of plant lateral root stress perturbation during shallow coal seam mining in the semi-arid region of Western China

Yong Guo, Ying Liu, Weihao Pei, Yuzhi Zhou, Shaogang Lei, Dongjiang Pan, Chuangang Gong and Xiaoyang Chen

Constructing time-series submerged aquatic vegetation by integrating process-based modeling and satellite images

Lingyan Qi, Han Yin, Zhengxin Wang, Liuyi Dai, Liangtao Ye, Kejia Zhang, Mingzhu Guo, Haifeng Qi and Jiacong Huang

Development of a PDP computational model to enhance the control and management of an aphid pest under greenhouse conditions

MªAngels Colomer and Olga M.C.C. Ameixa

A comparative analysis of univariate and multivariate spatial requirements modeling for habitat selection in freshwater fish: A case study of Oxynoemacheilus bergianus in the Jajroud River, Iran and implications for conservation and management

Saleh Mahmoudi and Asghar Abdoli

A hierarchical population model for the estimation of latent prey abundance and demographic rates of a nomadic predator

Thomas V. Riecke, Pierre-Alain Ravussin, Ludovic Longchamp, Daniel Trolliet, Dan Gibson and Michael Schaub

Altitude differences in relationship between radial growth process and cambial phenology of Qinghai spruce (Picea crassifolia) on the Tibetan Plateau

Le Zhang, Liang Jiao, Ruhong Xue, Peng Zhang, Xin Yuan, Qian Li and Kuan Zhang

Synergizing farmland reverting and energy substitution programs in Wolong through agent-based modelling and cost-efficiency analysis

Keyi Liu, Yufeng Chen, Liyan Xu, Xiao Zhang, Zilin Wang, Hailong Li, Yansheng Yang, Hong You and Dihua Li

Plant viability: Modeling the impacts of harvesting non-timber forest products in a fragmented landscape

Maria C.A. Leite, Ruth I. Oliva-Zúniga and Pedro J. Torres

Empirical dynamic modeling for prediction and control of pest populations

Bethany J. Johnson, Marcella M. Gomez and Stephan B. Munch

Modelling the dynamics of soil moisture and soil water salinity in tropical saltmarshes

Ronny Peters, Ângela Cristina Alves Reis, Ulf Mehlig, Marie-Christin Wimmler, Jonas Vollhüter, Uday Pimple, Britta Tietjen and Uta Berger

Forest insect populations: Modeling of critical events as first- and second-order phase transitions

V.G. Soukhovolsky, O.V. Tarasova, A.V. Kovalev, Yu.D. Ivanova, S.V. Pavlushin, Y.B. Akhanaev and V.V. Martemyanov

What grows, adapts and lives in the digital sphere? Systematic literature review on the dynamic modelling of flora and fauna in digital twins

Laura Mrosla, Henna Fabritius, Kristiina Kupper, Fabian Dembski and Pia Fricker

Integrated SSP-RCP Scenarios for Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use on Ecosystem Services in East Africa

Edovia Dufatanye Umwali, Xi Chen, Xuexi Ma, Zengkun Guo, Dickson Mbigi, Zhuo Zhang, Adeline Umugwaneza, Aboubakar Gasirabo and Jeanine Umuhoza

A mechanistic population-level (i.e. differential equation) model of Microcystis growth and toxin production

Charlotte Schampera and Ferdi L. Hellweger

Spatially explicit modelling of woody plant encroachment: A review of models published from 2013 through 2022

Miranda R. Peterson, Hsiao-Hsuan Wang and William E. Grant

Understanding predator-prey-competitor dynamics between Lower Missouri River Macrhybopsis and Scaphirhynchus using a population—bioenergetics model ensemble

Mark L. Wildhaber, Janice L. Albers and Nicholas S. Green

A coupled eco-hydrological model to simulate vegetation condition from soil moisture deficit in a data-scarce semi-arid wetland

Moyang Liu, Barry F.W. Croke, Serena H. Hamilton, Julien Lerat and Anthony J. Jakeman

Corrigendum to “The emergence of imperfect philopatry and fidelity in spatially and temporally heterogeneous environments” [Ecological Modelling 468 (2022) 109968]

Nathan W. Byer and Brendan N. Reid

Phenological analysis through biomathematical models of three varieties of pear (Pyrus communis L.) in mediterranean climate conditions

William Campillay-Llanos, Samuel Ortega-Farias, Gonzalo A. Díaz, Luis Ahumada-Orellana and Rafael López-Olivari

2025, volume 503, articles C

Bush encroachment with climate change in protected and communal areas: A species distribution modelling approach

Thabang Maphanga, Cletah Shoko, Mbulisi Sibanda, Blessing Kavhu, Corli Coetsee and Timothy Dube

Modelling system dynamics as a socio-ecological perspective to support human-beaver interactions

Anna Treves, Giovanni Zenezini and Elena Comino

Integrating equity and justice in marine ecosystem models: An incremental but meaningful approach

Sieme Bossier and Andrés M. Cisneros-Montemayor

Hybrid modeling approaches for accurate greenhouse climate prediction: Combining mechanistic models and LSTM neural networks

Yuanhong Xiong and Yuanping Su

Climate warming will significantly affect future restoration and level of ecosystem services in Lake Erhai

Bo Qin, Min Xu, Kexin Zhu, Yanjie Zhao, Enlou Zhang and Rong Wang

Toward a better understanding of forest spatial patterns:A generalisation of the uniform angle index

Yuankun Bu, Weizhong Li, Klaus von Gadow, Jiangtao Wei, Pengxiang Zhao, Yanzheng Yang, Chaofan Zhou, Boheng Wang and Xuan Zhao

Canary palms in rural areas as invasion bridges: Exploring simulated red palm weevil spread across date palm plantations

Eitan Goldshtein, Victoria Soroker, Asaf Sadeh and Yafit Cohen

Growing at the edge: Modelling sapling colonization, performance, and effective range of mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. tortuosa)

Anna Mariager Behrend and Arne Pommerening

2025, volume 502, articles C

Modelling the population dynamics of Rift Valley fever virus mosquito vectors in the western Mediterranean Basin

Alex Drouin, Thomas Balenghien, Benoit Durand, Carles Aranda, Amal Bennouna, Ali Bouattour, Said C Boubidi, Annamaria Conte, Sarah Delacour, Maria Goffredo, Oumnia Himmi, Grégory L'Ambert, Francis Schaffner and Véronique Chevalier

Modeling water quality and cyanobacteria blooms in Lake Okeechobee: I. Model descriptions, seasonal cycles, and spatial patterns

Mingshun Jiang, Ashely Brereton, Jordon Beckler, Timothy Moore, Rachel A. Brewton, Chuanmin Hu, Brian E. Lapointe and Malcolm N. McFarland

How priority effects within co-infected individuals scale up to affect disease risk in a two-host-two-pathogen system

Jing Jiao and Michael H. Cortez

Simulating biotic disturbance responses in forests requires a balance of model performance, complexity, and accessibility

Lisa T. Haber, Ben Bond-Lamberty, David Chan, Kalyn Dorheim, Jaclyn Hatala Matthes and Christopher Gough

Vegetation pattern formation in Daisyworld model with greenhouse effect

Maya Kageyama

Modelling interactive effects of biological and environmental factors on fine-scale coral settlement patterns

Molly-Mae Baker, Anna K. Cresswell, James P. Gilmour and Michael Renton

Enhancing ecological sustainability in ion-adsorption rare earth mining areas: A multi-scale model for assessing spatiotemporal dynamics and ecological resilience

Yaoyao Jiang, Hengkai Li, Zhiwei Zhang, Guogang Ren and Jianying Zhang

Spatial-temporal evolution of carbon storage and its driving factors in the Shanxi section of the Yellow River Basin, China

Jiakai Ma, Zixuan Hao, Yaqi Shen and Zhilei Zhen

Corrigendum to "Comparing the performance of global, geographically weighted and ecologically weighted species distribution models for Scottish wildcats using GLM and Random Forest predictive modeling"

S.A. Cushman, K. Kilshaw, R.D. Campbell, Z. Kaszta, M. Gaywood and D.W. Macdonald

Uncertainties in future ecosystem services under land and climate scenarios: The case of erosion in the Alps

Nicolas Elleaume, Bruno Locatelli, David Makowski, Améline Vallet, Jérôme Poulenard, Johan Oszwald and Sandra Lavorel

Field-scale simulation of runoff and water quality in a paddy field: A study of novel RWQSPad model

Dawei Lin, Baolin Su, Wuzhi Yang, Ningbo Huang, Kun Zhao, Yutang Guan, Ya Liao and Jingwen Zhou

Utilizing spatial modeling to evaluate habitat suitability and develop conservation corridors for effective conservation planning of Asian elephants (Elephas maximus) in Jeli, Kelantan, Malaysia

Nur Hairunnisa Rafaai, Hazizi Husain, Shukor Md Nor, Amal Najihah Muhamad Nor, Aainaa Amir, Muhamad Azahar Abas, Nor Hizami Hassin, Ashiah Rosdi, Siti Balqis Jaafar, Farah Nabila Ahmad, Fazrin Munirah Atan, Ahmad Shahdan Kasim, Hairulazim Mahmud, Salman Saaban and Kamarul Hambali