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Dynamics of fiscal financing in the United States

Eric Leeper, Michael Plante and Nora Traum

Journal of Econometrics, 2010, vol. 156, issue 2, 304-321

Abstract: General equilibrium models that include policy rules for government spending, lump-sum transfers, and distortionary taxation on labor and capital income and on consumption expenditures are fit to US data under rich specifications of fiscal policy rules to obtain several results. First, the best-fitting model allows many fiscal instruments to respond to debt. Second, responses of aggregates to fiscal policy shocks under rich rules vary considerably from responses where only non-distortionary fiscal instruments finance debt. Third, in the short run, all fiscal instruments except labor taxes react strongly to debt, but long-run intertemporal financing comes from all components of the government's budget constraint. Fourth, debt-financed fiscal shocks trigger long-lasting dynamics; short-run and long-run multipliers can differ markedly.

Keywords: Fiscal; policy; Debt; financing; Bayesian; estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (265)

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Working Paper: DYNAMICS OF FISCAL FINANCING IN THE UNITED STATES (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Dynamics of Fiscal Financing in the United States (2009) Downloads
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