Details about Michael Plante

Access statistics for papers by Michael Plante.

Last updated 2025-07-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: ppl48

Working Papers

2026

1. Geopolitical Oil Price Risk and Economic Fluctuations
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (4)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2024)
2. Implications of the Iran war for U.S. inflation
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
3. The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on U.S. Inflation: A Scenario Analysis
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
4. U.S. battery industry cuts losses, shifts to new ventures amid EV bust
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
5. Utility-scale solar shines in Texas despite tariffs, federal policy changes
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
6. What the closure of the Strait of Hormuz means for the global economy
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2025

7. Geopolitical oil price risk not a major driver of global macroeconomic fluctuations
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
8. How sensitive are interest rates to higher federal debt?
   Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
9. Revisiting the Interest Rate Effects of Federal Debt
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2025)
10. Rush for U.S. lithium production encounters tough economics
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2024

11. Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
12. Investing in the Batteries and Vehicles of the Future: A View Through the Stock Market
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    See also Journal Article Investing in the batteries and vehicles of the future: A view through the stock market, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2025) View citations (1) (2025)

2023

13. Jointly Estimating Macroeconomic News and Surprise Shocks
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research

2022

14. Automakers' Bold Plans for Electric Vehicles Spur Battery Boom
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
15. Capacity Constraints Drive the OPEC+ Supply Gap
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
16. Electric Vehicles Gain Ground but Still Face Price, Range, Charging Constraints
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
17. Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (9)
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2022) View citations (4)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research (2022)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2022) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2025) View citations (6) (2025)
18. Solar Lights Up Outlook for Renewable Energy in Texas
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
19. The Russian Oil Supply Shock of 2022
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2021

20. Better Vehicle Batteries Needed to Power Energy Transition
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
21. Countercyclical Fluctuations in Uncertainty are Endogenous
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
22. Oil Market’s Tightening in February Seemingly Defies Fundamentals
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2020

23. Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
24. Dallas Fed Energy Survey Results Point to Bleak Outlook for Oil Industry
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
25. How Falling Oil Prices in Early 2020 Weakened the U.S. Economy
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
26. Online Appendix to "Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil"
    Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2021) View citations (9) (2021)
27. The Production Process Drives Fluctuations in Output and Uncertainty
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2019

28. Breakeven Oil Prices Underscore Shale’s Impact on the Market
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
29. Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks in Oil Price Differentials
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks inOil Price Differentials, The Energy Journal (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
30. Dallas Fed Energy Survey Suggests Oil Price Drop Won’t Cause Sector Collapse in 2019
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
31. GDP Gain Realized in Shale Boom’s First 10 Years
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
32. Modern Refineries, Shale Boom Upend Traditional Oil Price Relationships
    Dallas Fed Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2018

33. OPEC in the News
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article OPEC in the news, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2019) View citations (25) (2019)

2017

34. The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2017) View citations (3)
35. The U.S. Shale Oil Boom, the Oil Export Ban, and the Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis Nida
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

2014

36. Fuel subsidies, the oil market and the world economy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Fuel Subsidies, the Oil Market and the World Economy, The Energy Journal (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
37. The zero lower bound and endogenous uncertainty
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article The Zero Lower Bound and Endogenous Uncertainty, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2018) View citations (42) (2018)

2013

38. The Long-Run Macroeconomic Impacts of Fuel Subsidies
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2013) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article The long-run macroeconomic impacts of fuel subsidies, Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier (2014) View citations (52) (2014)

2012

39. How should monetary policy respond to changes in the relative price of oil? considering supply and demand shocks
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas View citations (1)
    Also in CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2009) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article How should monetary policy respond to changes in the relative price of oil? Considering supply and demand shocks, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2014) View citations (28) (2014)
40. Time-Varying Oil Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Aggregates
    2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (27)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2012) View citations (14)
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2012) View citations (26)

2011

41. The long-run macroeconomic impacts of fuel subsidies in an oil-importing developing country
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)

2009

42. DYNAMICS OF FISCAL FINANCING IN THE UNITED STATES
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington View citations (11)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) View citations (58)
    See also Journal Article Dynamics of fiscal financing in the United States, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2010) View citations (287) (2010)
43. Exchange Rates, Oil Price Shocks, and Monetary Policy in an Economy with Traded and Non-Traded Goods
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington View citations (1)
44. Fiscal and Monetary Policy Responses to Oil Price Shocks in Oil Importing Low Income Countries
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington

2008

45. Oil Price Shocks and Exchange Rate Management: The Implications of Consumer Durables for the Small Open Economy
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2025

1. Investing in the batteries and vehicles of the future: A view through the stock market
   Energy Economics, 2025, 143, (C) View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Investing in the Batteries and Vehicles of the Future: A View Through the Stock Market, Working Papers (2024) (2024)
2. Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2025, 40, (4), 395-410 View citations (6)
   See also Working Paper Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings, CESifo Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (9) (2022)

2024

3. A Simple Explanation of Countercyclical Uncertainty
   American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2024, 16, (4), 143-71 View citations (2)
4. Old oil fields reimagined as lithium sources
   Southwest Economy, 2024

2023

5. Texas to get new type of refinery: a lithium refinery
   Southwest Economy, 2023 View citations (1)

2022

6. Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
   Review of Economic Dynamics, 2022, 44, 225-243 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Working Papers (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
7. Spotlight: Federal Dollars Could Drive Electric Vehicle Charging Across Texas
   Southwest Economy, 2022, (Second Quarter)

2021

8. Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks inOil Price Differentials
   The Energy Journal, 2021, 42, (2), 1-30 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks in Oil Price Differentials, Working Papers (2019) View citations (5) (2019)
9. Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil
   Review of Economic Dynamics, 2021, 42, 307-332 View citations (9)
   See also Software Item Code and data files for "Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil", Computer Codes (2020) (2020)
   Working Paper Online Appendix to "Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil", Online Appendices (2020) View citations (1) (2020)

2019

10. OPEC in the news
    Energy Economics, 2019, 80, (C), 163-172 View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper OPEC in the News, Working Papers (2018) View citations (3) (2018)

2018

11. The Zero Lower Bound and Endogenous Uncertainty
    Economic Journal, 2018, 128, (611), 1730-1757 View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper The zero lower bound and endogenous uncertainty, Working Papers (2014) View citations (19) (2014)

2017

12. Fed’s Effective Lower Bound Constraint on Monetary Policy Created Uncertainty
    Economic Letter, 2017, 12, (11), 1-4 View citations (1)
13. Inventory shocks and the oil–ethanol–grain price nexus
    Economics Letters, 2017, 156, (C), 58-60 View citations (2)

2015

14. Fuel Subsidies, the Oil Market and the World Economy
    The Energy Journal, 2015, 36, (1_suppl), 99-128 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Fuel subsidies, the oil market and the world economy, Working Papers (2014) View citations (3) (2014)
15. Lower oil prices weaken prospects for job, economic growth in Texas
    Southwest Economy, 2015, (Q1), 10-13
16. Plunging oil prices: a boost for the U.S. economy, a jolt for Texas
    Economic Letter, 2015, 10, (3), 1-4 View citations (1)
17. The Texas Energy Industry: From Boom to Gloom
    Annual Report, 2015

2014

18. Crude oil export ban benefits some … but not all
    Economic Letter, 2014, 9, (7), 1-4 View citations (1)
19. How should monetary policy respond to changes in the relative price of oil? Considering supply and demand shocks
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, 44, (C), 1-19 View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper How should monetary policy respond to changes in the relative price of oil? considering supply and demand shocks, Working Papers (2012) View citations (1) (2012)
20. Reforma Energética: Mexico takes first steps to overhaul oil industry
    Southwest Economy, 2014, (Q2), 16-19 View citations (2)
21. Renewable fuel standards hit the 'blend wall'
    Economic Letter, 2014, 9, (2), 1-4
22. The long-run macroeconomic impacts of fuel subsidies
    Journal of Development Economics, 2014, 107, (C), 129-143 View citations (52)
    See also Working Paper The Long-Run Macroeconomic Impacts of Fuel Subsidies, CAEPR Working Papers (2013) View citations (2) (2013)

2013

23. Getting prices right: addressing Mexico’s history of fuel subsidies
    Southwest Economy, 2013, (Q3), 10-13 View citations (2)

2012

24. Commodity futures investing: method to the madness
    Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (5) View citations (1)
25. Market expectations and corn prices: looking into future to explain present
    Economic Letter, 2012, 7, (7)

2011

26. Did speculation drive oil prices? futures market points to fundamentals
    Economic Letter, 2011, 6, (oct) View citations (2)
27. Did speculation drive oil prices? market fundamentals suggest otherwise
    Economic Letter, 2011, 6, (oct) View citations (6)

2010

28. Dynamics of fiscal financing in the United States
    Journal of Econometrics, 2010, 156, (2), 304-321 View citations (287)
    See also Working Paper DYNAMICS OF FISCAL FINANCING IN THE UNITED STATES, CAEPR Working Papers (2009) View citations (11) (2009)

Chapters

2015

1. The Impact of Changing Energy Prices on the Texas Economy
   Palgrave Macmillan

Software Items

2020

1. Code and data files for "Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil"
   Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics
   See also Journal Article Resource Booms and the Macroeconomy: The Case of U.S. Shale Oil, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2021) View citations (9) (2021)