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Debt, inflation and central bank independence

Fernando Martin

European Economic Review, 2015, vol. 79, issue C, 129-150

Abstract: Increasing the independence of a central bank from political influence, although ex-ante socially beneficial and initially successful in reducing inflation, would ultimately fail to lower inflation permanently. The smaller anticipated policy distortions implemented by a more independent central bank would induce the fiscal authority to decrease current distortions by increasing the deficit. Over time, inflation would increase to accommodate a higher public debt. By contrast, imposing a strict inflation target would lower inflation permanently and insulate the primary deficit from political distortions.

Keywords: Government debt; Inflation; Deficit; Central bank independence; Time-consistency; Inflation targeting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E58 E61 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (38)

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Working Paper: Debt, inflation and central bank independence (2013) Downloads
Working Paper: Debt, Inflation and Central Bank Independence (2012) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:79:y:2015:i:c:p:129-150

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.07.009

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