Extent of type I and type II errors in editorial decisions: A case study on Angewandte Chemie International Edition

Lutz Bornmann () and Hans-Dieter Daniel

Journal of Informetrics, 2009, vol. 3, issue 4, 348-352

Abstract: Selection processes are never faultless. We investigate the predictive validity of the manuscript selection process at Angewandte Chemie International Edition (AC-IE), one of the prime chemistry journals worldwide, and conducted a citation analysis for manuscripts that were accepted by the journal or rejected but published elsewhere (n=1817). With the bibliometric data, we were able to calculate the extent of type I and type II errors of the selection decisions. We found that the decisions regarding 15% of the manuscripts show a type I error (accepted manuscripts that did not perform as well as or worse than the average rejected manuscript). Moreover, the decisions regarding 15% of the manuscripts are affected by a type II error (rejected manuscripts that performed equal to or above the average accepted manuscript).

Keywords: Editorial decision; Manuscript selection process; Predictive validity; Citation counts; Type I error; Type II error (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:infome:v:3:y:2009:i:4:p:348-352

DOI: 10.1016/j.joi.2009.05.002

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