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Fears and realisations of employment insecurity

Andrew Dickerson and Francis Green

Labour Economics, 2012, vol. 19, issue 2, 198-210

Abstract: We investigate the validity of subjective data on expectations of job loss and on the probability of re-employment consequent on job loss, by examining associations between expectations and realisations. We find that subjective expectations data reveal private information about subsequent realisations both of job loss and of subsequent re-employment. We also compare the use of verbal and numerical descriptors for subjective probability scales. As predictors of subsequent job loss, the expectations data perform better with numerical than with ordinal verbal descriptors. On average, employees overestimate the chance of losing their job; while they underestimate the difficulty of job replacement. We recommend that survey items on employment insecurity should be explicit about each risk under investigation, and utilise a cardinal probability scale with discrete numerical descriptors.

Keywords: Job insecurity; Expectations; Employability; Job loss (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C81 D84 J01 J6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (52)

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Working Paper: Fears and realisations of employment insecurity (2009) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:labeco:v:19:y:2012:i:2:p:198-210

DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2011.10.001

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