The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?
Carl Benedikt Frey and
Michael A. Osborne
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2017, vol. 114, issue C, 254-280
We examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation. To assess this, we begin by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, we examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupations probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment.
Keywords: Occupational choice; Technological change; Wage inequality; Employment; Skill demand (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 J24 J31 J62 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (155) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:114:y:2017:i:c:p:254-280
Access Statistics for this article
Technological Forecasting and Social Change is currently edited by Fred Phillips
More articles in Technological Forecasting and Social Change from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().