Capturing the interaction between travel time reliability and route choice behavior based on the generalized Bayesian traffic model

Zheng Zhu, Atabak Mardan, Shanjiang Zhu and Hai Yang

Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 2021, vol. 143, issue C, 48-64

Abstract: Travel time reliability plays an important role in travelers’ route choice behaviors. Based on a previously developed generalized Bayesian traffic model, we propose different types of perceived knowledge (i.e., mean-variance-based type, relative gap-based type, and penalty-based type) to model travelers’ daily route choice behavior concerning travel time reliability. We theoretically demonstrate the flexibility of the generalized Bayesian model in capturing various existing UE-based travel behaviors and other non-UE-based travel behaviors (e.g., penalty-based) in stochastic transportation systems. Three major conclusions are obtained. First, the route choice dynamics induced by the Bayesian model with an infinitely long memory and mean-variance-based perceived knowledge will converge to the mean-variance UE condition. Second, the convergence of route choice dynamics to a UE condition is not affected by adding a bounded weight on the daily perceived knowledge. Thirdly, non-UE-based formulations of perceived knowledge also lead to fixed points for the mean route choice proportion. The convergences of the models with different types of perceived knowledge are verified based on numerical studies and the underlying day-to-day route choice dynamics with both recurrent and non-recurrent unreliability are examined.

Keywords: Travel time reliability; Bayesian updating; Route choice; Day-to-day travel behavior (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0191261520304288
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:transb:v:143:y:2021:i:c:p:48-64

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/supportfaq.cws_home/regional
https://shop.elsevie ... _01_ooc_1&version=01

DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2020.11.005

Access Statistics for this article

Transportation Research Part B: Methodological is currently edited by Fred Mannering

More articles in Transportation Research Part B: Methodological from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().