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Have Inflation Dynamics Changed?

Edward Knotek () and Saeed Zaman

Economic Commentary, 2017, issue November

Abstract: Using a flexible statistical model to project inflation outcomes into the future, this Commentary finds that the most likely path for inflation based on recent inflation dynamics is generally similar to what would have been expected given inflation dynamics in the late 1990s, but there is more uncertainty around the forecast now than in the late 1990s.

Keywords: inflation; forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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