Details about Saeed Zaman

Access statistics for papers by Saeed Zaman.

Last updated 2023-03-10. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pza244

Working Papers

2025

1. Improving the Median CPI: Maximal Disaggregation Isn't Necessarily Optimal
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)

2024

2. A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)
3. Nowcasting Inflation
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
4. Oil Price Fluctuations and US Banks
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

2023

5. Forecasting Core Inflation and Its Goods, Housing, and Supercore Components
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
6. Improving Inflation Forecasts Using Robust Measures
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
7. Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics: Higher for Longer
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)
8. The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)
9. The Hard Road to a Soft Landing: Evidence from a (Modestly) Nonlinear Structural Model
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (2)

2020

10. Asymmetric Responses of Consumer Spending to Energy Prices: A Threshold VAR Approach
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)
11. Real-Time Density Nowcasts of US Inflation: A Model-Combination Approach
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2020) View citations (1)

2018

12. Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2020) View citations (29) (2020)

2017

13. Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2019) View citations (17) (2019)

2016

14. The Usefulness of the Median CPI in Bayesian VARs Used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The usefulness of the median CPI in Bayesian VARs used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy, Empirical Economics, Springer (2019) View citations (4) (2019)

2015

15. Credit Market Information Feedback
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
    See also Journal Article Credit Market Information Feedback, Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer (2016) (2016)
16. Forecasting Inflation: Phillips Curve Effects on Services Price Measures
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Forecasting inflation: Phillips curve effects on services price measures, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2017) View citations (27) (2017)

2014

17. Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2017) View citations (20) (2017)

2013

18. Are banks forward-looking in their loan loss provisioning? Evidence from the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS)
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (5)
19. It’s not just for inflation: The usefulness of the median CPI in BVAR forecasting
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (10)

2011

20. A medium scale forecasting model for monetary policy
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (13)

Journal Articles

2023

1. A Real-Time Assessment of Inflation Nowcasting at the Cleveland Fed
   Economic Commentary, 2023, 2023, (06), 8

2020

2. Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2020, 36, (2), 373-398 View citations (29)
   See also Working Paper Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy, Working Papers (Old Series) (2018) View citations (5) (2018)

2019

3. Cyclical versus Acyclical Inflation: A Deeper Dive
   Economic Commentary, 2019, (September)
4. Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (4), 1708-1724 View citations (17)
   See also Working Paper Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting, Working Papers (Old Series) (2017) View citations (5) (2017)
5. The usefulness of the median CPI in Bayesian VARs used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy
   Empirical Economics, 2019, 57, (2), 603-630 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper The Usefulness of the Median CPI in Bayesian VARs Used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2016) View citations (1) (2016)

2017

6. Evidence of Forward-Looking Loan Loss Provisioning with Credit Market Information
   Journal of Financial Services Research, 2017, 52, (3), 191-223 View citations (8)
7. Forecasting inflation: Phillips curve effects on services price measures
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2017, 33, (2), 442-457 View citations (27)
   See also Working Paper Forecasting Inflation: Phillips Curve Effects on Services Price Measures, Working Papers (Old Series) (2015) View citations (5) (2015)
8. Have Inflation Dynamics Changed?
   Economic Commentary, 2017, (November) View citations (5)
9. Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation
   Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2017, 49, (5), 931-968 View citations (20)
   See also Working Paper Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation, Working Papers (Old Series) (2014) View citations (5) (2014)

2016

10. Credit Market Information Feedback
    Atlantic Economic Journal, 2016, 44, (3), 405-407
    See also Working Paper Credit Market Information Feedback, Working Papers (Old Series) (2015) (2015)
11. The Likelihood of 2 Percent Inflation in the Next Three Years
    Economic Commentary, 2016, (November)

2015

12. Measuring Inflation Forecast Uncertainty
    Economic Commentary, 2015, 2015, (03), 6 View citations (3)

2014

13. On the Relationships between Wages, Prices, and Economic Activity
    Economic Commentary, 2014, (Aug) View citations (21)
14. The Slowdown in Residential Investment and Future Prospects
    Economic Commentary, 2014, (May)
15. Using an Improved Taylor Rule to Predict When Policy Changes Will Occur
    Economic Commentary, 2014, (March) View citations (4)

2013

16. Forecasting implications of the recent decline in inflation
    Economic Commentary, 2013, (Nov) View citations (2)
17. Forecasting inflation? Target the middle
    Economic Commentary, 2013, (Apr) View citations (5)
18. Improving inflation forecasts in the medium to long term
    Economic Commentary, 2013, (Nov) View citations (11)
19. When Might the Federal Funds Rate Lift Off? Computing the Probabilities of Crossing Unemployment and Inflation Thresholds
    Economic Commentary, 2013, (Dec) View citations (3)

2012

20. Where would the federal funds rate be, if it could be negative?
    Economic Commentary, 2012, (Oct) View citations (2)

2011

21. Buy a home or rent? A better way to choose
    Economic Commentary, 2011, (Apr)
22. Food and energy price shocks: what other prices are affected?
    Economic Commentary, 2011, (Aug)
23. Macroeconomic models, forecasting, and policymaking
    Economic Commentary, 2011, (Oct) View citations (10)

2010

24. Unemployment after the recession: a new natural rate?
    Economic Commentary, 2010, (Sep) View citations (10)

2006

25. Are we engineering ourselves out of manufacturing jobs?
    Economic Commentary, 2006, (Jan) View citations (2)