The right profile: economic drivers and the outlook

John Williams

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016

Abstract: Headline news can give false impressions of what motivates monetary policymakers. While international developments and financial market volatility are closely monitored, what matters for policy is how those things affect jobs and inflation. The U.S. economy has had strong job growth, and inflation is low but on course to reach target. The best course remains a gradual pace of policy rate increases. The following is adapted from a presentation by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to Town Hall Los Angeles on February 18.

Date: 2016
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Working Paper: The right profile: economic drivers and the outlook (2016)
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