Details about John C. Williams

Homepage:	https://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/orgchart/williams
Phone:	(212) 720-6180
Postal address:	Federal Reserve Bank of New York Executive Offices 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045
Workplace:	Research and Statistics Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, (more information at EDIRC) Federal Reserve Bank of New York, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by John C. Williams.

Last updated 2025-03-23. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pwi23

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Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2025

1. An Economy That Works for All: Housing Affordability
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
2. Certain Uncertainty
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
3. Comparing Apples to Apples: “Synthetic Real‑Time” Estimates of R‑Star
   Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
4. Discussion of "Monetary Policy Transmission to Real Activity"
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
5. From Where We Are Now
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
6. Mentions of Inventions
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
7. Opening Remarks
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2021)
8. Uncertain Times
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2024

9. 100 Years at 33 Liberty Street
   Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
10. All About Data
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
11. Eclipse
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
12. Finding Balance in the Economy
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
13. Managing the Known Unknowns
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
14. New York City Is Alive
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
15. R-Star: A Global Perspective
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
16. Rules of Three
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
17. Ten Years Gone
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
18. The Journey
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
19. There and Back Again
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
20. Tracking Reserve Ampleness in Real Time Using Reserve Demand Elasticity
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
21. When Are Central Bank Reserves Ample?
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
22. X Marks the Spot: Making Missing Markets
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
23. ‘E’ Is for Equipoise
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2023

24. Achieving Balance Amid Uncertainty
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
25. Attaining and Maintaining Price Stability
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
26. Elementary, Dear Data
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
27. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest after COVID-19
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (6)
28. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: Past, Present, and Future
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (6)
29. Our Work Is Not Yet Done
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
30. Peeling the Inflation Onion, Revisited
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
31. Restoring Price Stability
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
32. Shifting Gears: Rebalance and Realignment in the Economy
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
33. The Dual Transformation of R&S and Monetary Policy
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
34. The Optimal Supply of Central Bank Reserves under Uncertainty
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2023)
35. This Is the Way
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2022

36. A Bedrock Commitment to Price Stability
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
37. A Jack of All Trades Is a Master of None
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
38. A New Approach to Assess Inflation Expectations Anchoring Using Strategic Surveys
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article A new approach to assess inflation expectations anchoring using strategic surveys, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (11) (2022)
39. A New York Moment
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
40. A Steady Anchor in a Stormy Sea
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
41. A Time of Uncertainty
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
42. Bridging the Skills Gap
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
43. Global Issues, Global Implications
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
44. Macroeconomic Drivers and the Pricing of Uncertainty, Inflation, and Bonds
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2022)
45. Measuring the Ampleness of Reserves
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
46. Peeling the Inflation Onion
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
47. Price Stability: The Foundation for a Strong Economy
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
48. Reading the Recovery
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
49. Restoring Balance
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
50. Scarce, Abundant, or Ample? A Time-Varying Model of the Reserve Demand Curve
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
51. The Curious Case of the Rise in Deflation Expectations
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
52. The Right Tools for Our Time
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
53. The Song Remains the Same
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
54. What Are Consumers’ Inflation Expectations Telling Us Today?
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (2)
55. What Do Consumers Think Will Happen to Inflation?
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (1)

2021

56. Business More Like Usual
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (1)
57. Ever Upward
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
58. Good Day Sunshine
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
59. Healthy Workforce, Healthy Economy
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
60. Measure Twice, Cut Once
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
61. Preparing for the Unknown
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
62. The Economic Outlook: Getting Back to "More Like Normal"
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
63. The Economic Recovery: Are We There Yet?
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
64. The Theory of Average Inflation Targeting
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2020

65. 537 Days: Time Is Still Ticking
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
66. A Different Kind of Recession
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
67. A New Chapter for the FOMC Monetary Policy Framework
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
68. A Solution to Every Puzzle
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
69. A Time for Bold Action
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
70. Building an Equitable Future
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
71. Getting to the Core of Culture
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
72. Inflation Targeting: Securing the Anchor
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (1)
73. Research, Policy, and the Zero Lower Bound
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
74. Rising to the Challenge: Central Banking, Financial Markets, and the Pandemic
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
75. The Economic Outlook
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
    Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) View citations (1)
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) View citations (7)
76. The Economy in the Time of Coronavirus
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
77. The Longer-Run Framework: A Look Ahead
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
78. What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (18)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2018) View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2021) View citations (9) (2021)

2019

79. 901 Days
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
80. A Tale of Many Economies
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
81. Banking culture: the path ahead: remarks at Building Cultural Capital in the Financial Services Industry: Emerging Practices, Risks and Opportunities, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
82. Discussion of 'Prospects for Inflation in a High Pressure Economy: Is the Phillips Curve Dead or Is It Just Hibernating?' by Peter Hooper, Frederic S. Mishkin, and Amir Sufi: remarks at the U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
83. Diversity and Inclusion: We Are Not Where We Need to Be: remarks at OPEN Finance Forum, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
84. Fulfilling our economic potential: remarks at the Association for Neighborhood & Housing Development 2019 Annual Conference, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
85. If we fail to prepare, we prepare to rail: remarks at Council on Foreign Relations, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
86. LIBOR: The Clock Is Ticking
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
87. Living Life Near the ZLB
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (3)
88. Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (33)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2019) View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates, AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association (2019) View citations (76) (2019)
89. Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
90. Monetary policy: a 'data dependent' approach: remarks at the New Jersey Bankers Association's Economic Leadership Forum, Somerset, New Jersey
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (1)
91. Money Markets and the Federal Funds Rate: The Path Forward
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
92. No Man Is an Island
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
93. The Evolution of Macro Models at the Federal Reserve Board
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (42)
    See also Journal Article The evolution of macro models at the Federal Reserve Board, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier (1997) View citations (169) (1997)
94. The Gold Beneath Our Feet
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
95. The economic outlook: the ‘new normal’ is now: remarks at The Economic Club of New York, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
96. The joys of spring: remarks at the 21st Annual Bronx Bankers Breakfast, Bronx, New York
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
97. The research-policy nexus: ZLB, JMCB and FOMC: remarks at the Conference Celebrating the 50th Anniversary of the Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
98. The ‘new normal’ for growth: remarks at the Community Bankers Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
    Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
99. Tying Down the Anchor: Monetary Policy Rules and the Lower Bound on Interest Rates
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (35)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2019) View citations (13)
100. When the Facts Change…: remarks at the 9th High-Level Conference on the International Monetary System, Zürich, Switzerland
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (1)

2018

101. 'Normal' monetary policy in words and deeds: remarks at Columbia University, School of International and Public Affairs, New York City
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
102. Expecting the Expected: Staying Calm When the Data Meet the Forecasts
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Expecting the Expected: Staying Calm When the Data Meet the Forecasts, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2018) (2018)
103. Monetary policy strategies for a low-neutral-interest-rate world: remarks at the 80th Plenary Meeting of the Group of Thirty, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York View citations (1)
104. Moving toward 'normal' U.S. monetary policy: remarks at the Joint Bank Indonesia-Federal Reserve Bank of New York Central Banking Forum, Nusa Dua, Indonesia
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
105. Now is the time for banking culture reform: remarks at Governance and Culture Reform Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
106. Remarks at the 42nd Annual Central Banking Seminar, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
107. Supporting Strong, Steady, and Sustainable Growth
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Supporting Strong, Steady, and Sustainable Growth, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2018) (2018)
108. The Future Fortunes of R-star: Are They Really Rising?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (3)
     See also Journal Article The Future Fortunes of R-star: Are They Really Rising?, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2018) View citations (3) (2018)
109. Welcoming remarks at the Investing in America's Workforce Book Launch Event, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2017

110. From Sustained Recovery to Sustainable Growth: What a Difference Four Years Makes. Speech to the Forecasters Club, New York, New York, March 29, 2017
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
111. Interest Rates and the “New Normal”
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
112. Keeping the Recovery Sustainable: The Essential Role of an Independent Fed. Speech to the Santa Cruz Chamber of Commerce, Santa Cruz, California, February 28, 2017
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
113. Looking Back, Looking Ahead
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (3)
     See also Journal Article Looking Back, Looking Ahead, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2017) (2017)
114. Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook: A Fine Balancing Act
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook: A Fine Balancing Act, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2017) (2017)
115. Monetary Policy’s Role in Fostering Sustainable Growth
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Monetary Policy's Role in Fostering Sustainable Growth, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2017) (2017)
116. Preparing for the Next Storm: Reassessing Frameworks & Strategies in a Low R-Star World
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (16)
117. Risk, Resilience & Sustainable Growth: U.S. Monetary Policy in a Post-Recovery Era
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
118. Speed Limits and Stall Speeds: Fostering Sustainable Growth in the United States
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
119. The Global Challenge of Very Low R-Star
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
120. The Global Growth Slump: Causes & Consequences
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (4)
121. The Jenga Tower of Prosperity: The Strong, Prosperous, And Resilient Communities Challenge (SPARCC). Speech to the SPARCC National Launch Event, New York, New York, March 30, 2017
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
122. What’s the Future of Interest Rates? The Answer’s in the Stars
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
123. When the United States Sneezes…
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2016

124. After the first rate hike
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
     See also Journal Article After the first rate hike, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2016) (2016)
125. Assessing the New Normal(s). Speech to the Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco’s 2016 Member Conference, San Francisco, California, October 21, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
126. Discussion of “Language after liftoff: Fed communication away from the zero lower bound”
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
127. Diversity and Inclusion without Excuses. Speech at the Conference on “Improving Diversity in the Financial Services Industry: A Holistic View”, Rutgers University, Newark Campus, Newark, New Jersey, October 19, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
128. Fintech: the power of the possible and potential pitfalls. Speech at the LendIt USA 2016 conference, San Francisco, California, April 12, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
129. Longview: The Economic Outlook. Speech to the Anchorage Economic Development Corporation, Anchorage, Alaska, August 18, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
130. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest Redux
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (108)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) View citations (40)
131. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (123)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2016) View citations (98)
     See also Chapter Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) View citations (184) (2016)
     Journal Article Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants, Journal of International Economics, Elsevier (2017) View citations (556) (2017)
132. Now that Winter is over, springtime is on my mind. Speech to the Sacramento Economic Forum, Sacramento, California, May 13, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
133. Rules of engagement
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Rules of engagement, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2016) (2016)
134. The health of nations
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
135. The right profile: economic drivers and the outlook
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article The right profile: economic drivers and the outlook, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2016) (2016)
136. Trick of the light? The U.S. economy, global growth, and international risks in perspective. A speech at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy and U.S. Embassy Speaker Series, Singapore, Singapore, March 29, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
137. Whither Inflation Targeting? Speech to the Hayek Group, Reno, Nevada, September 6, 2016
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)

2015

138. China, rates, and the outlook: may the (economic) force be with you
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
139. Dancing days are here again: the long road back to maximum employment
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Dancing days are here again: the long road back to maximum employment, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) (2015)
140. Data is the new black: monetary policy by the numbers
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
141. Impact investing, impacting neighborhoods
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
142. Looking forward, forward looking: the path for monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
143. Macroprudential policy in a microprudential world
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (11)
     See also Journal Article Macroprudential policy in a microprudential world, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) View citations (11) (2015)
144. Measuring the effects of monetary policy on house prices and the economy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
     See also Chapter Measuring the effects of monetary policy on house prices and the economy, BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements (2016) View citations (15) (2016)
145. Monetary policy and the independence dilemma
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (4)
     See also Journal Article Monetary policy and the independence dilemma, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
146. The economic outlook: live long and prosper
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015)
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015)
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015)
     See also Journal Article The economic outlook: live long and prosper, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) (2015)
147. The outlook, education, and the future of the American economy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
148. The recovery’s final frontier?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015)
     See also Journal Article The recovery’s final frontier?, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) (2015)
149. The rediscovery of financial market imperfections
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
150. The view from here: the economic outlook and its implications for monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2014

151. A Wedge in the Dual Mandate: Monetary Policy and Long-Term Unemployment
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article A wedge in the dual mandate: Monetary policy and long-term unemployment, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2016) View citations (14) (2016)
152. Accommodative monetary policy: savior or saboteur?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
153. Economic conditions and monetary policy: a transitional phase introduction
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
154. Financial stability and monetary policy: happy marriage or untenable union?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (15)
     See also Journal Article Financial stability and monetary policy: happy marriage or untenable union?, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2014) View citations (15) (2014)
155. Housing, banking, and the recovery: the outlook
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article Housing, banking, and the recovery: the outlook, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2014) (2014)
156. Inflation targeting and the global financial crisis: successes and challenges
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (9)
157. Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (415)
     Also in 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2012) View citations (60)
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (8)
     See also Journal Article Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2014) View citations (424) (2014)
158. Navigating toward normal: the road back to the future for monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
159. The Federal Reserve: inside monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
160. The economic recovery and monetary policy: the road back to ordinary
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
     See also Journal Article The economic recovery and monetary policy: the road back to ordinary, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2014) View citations (1) (2014)

2013

161. A Defense of Moderation in Monetary Policy
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (21)
     See also Journal Article A defense of moderation in monetary policy, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2013) View citations (22) (2013)
162. Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (11)
     See also Journal Article Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2013) View citations (11) (2013)
163. Lessons from the financial crisis for unconventional monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (4)
164. Life's unpredictable arc
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
165. Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (8)
     See also Chapter Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (13) (2013)
166. Monetary policy and the recovery
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
167. Rebalancing the economy: a tale of two countries
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
     See also Journal Article Rebalancing the economy: a tale of two countries, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2013) (2013)
168. The economic outlook and monetary policy: moving in the right direction
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
169. The economic outlook, unemployment, and monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
170. The economic recovery: past, present, and future
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     See also Journal Article The economic recovery: past, present, and future, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2013) (2013)
171. The economy and monetary policy in uncertain times
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
172. The economy and monetary policy: follow the demand
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
173. The economy and the Federal Reserve: real progress, but too soon to relax
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
174. Will unconventional monetary policy be the new normal?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (6)

2012

175. Bank regulation in the post-crisis world
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
176. Discussion of \"Housing, monetary policy, and the recovery\"
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
177. Monetary policy and the slow recovery: It’s not just about housing
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (1)
178. Monetary policy, money, and inflation
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (12)
     See also Journal Article Monetary policy, money, and inflation, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (3) (2012)
179. The Federal Reserve and the economic recovery
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article The Federal Reserve and the economic recovery, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) (2012)
180. The Federal Reserve's unconventional policies
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (11)
     See also Journal Article The Federal Reserve’s unconventional policies, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (11) (2012)
181. The Federal Reserve’s mandate and best practice monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
182. The economic outlook and challenges to monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012)
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012)
183. The economic outlook and monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011)
184. The economic outlook: global and domestic challenges to growth
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
185. The economy, fiscal policy, and monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
186. The role of monetary policy in bolstering economic growth
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
     Also in Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (2)
187. The slow recovery: causes and monetary policy implications
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
188. Welcoming remarks
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2011

189. Economics instruction and the brave new world of monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (4)
     See also Journal Article Economics instruction and the brave new world of monetary policy, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) View citations (1) (2011)
190. Have we underestimated the likelihood and severity of zero lower bound events?
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (68)
     See also Journal Article Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2012) View citations (249) (2012)
191. Maintaining price stability in a global economy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article Maintaining price stability in a global economy, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) (2011)
192. Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (11)
     Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (7)
     Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus (2010) View citations (9)
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) View citations (5)
     See also Chapter Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (11) (2013)
193. Monetary policy in an era of crises
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (2)
194. Risk management and macroprudential supervisory policies
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
195. Swimming upstream: monetary policy following the financial crisis
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
196. The outlook for the U.S. economy and role for monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
197. The outlook for the economy and monetary policy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
198. Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (32)
     See also Journal Article Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years, FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2011) View citations (38) (2011)
199. Will the financial crisis have a lasting effect on unemployment?
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2010

200. Sailing into headwinds: the uncertain outlook for the U.S. economy
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (10)
201. Simple and Robust Rules for Monetary Policy
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (154)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) View citations (74)
     See also Chapter Simple and Robust Rules for Monetary Policy, Handbook of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2010) View citations (154) (2010)
202. The economic outlook: moving forward on a bumpy road
     Speech, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2009

203. Heeding Daedalus: Optimal inflation and the zero lower bound
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (76)
     See also Journal Article Heeding Daedalus: Optimal Inflation and the Zero Lower Bound, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2009) View citations (112) (2009)

2008

204. A Black Swan in the Money Market
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (109)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2008) View citations (37)
     See also Journal Article A Black Swan in the Money Market, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2009) View citations (285) (2009)
205. Further Results on a Black Swan in the Money Market
     Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research View citations (60)
206. Imperfect Knowledge And The Pitfalls Of Optimal Control Monetary Policy
     Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile View citations (6)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2008) View citations (5)
     Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus (2008) View citations (5)
     See also Chapter Imperfect Knowledge and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2009) View citations (12) (2009)
207. LEARNING, EXPECTATIONS FORMATION, AND THE PITFALLS OF OPTIMAL CONTROL MONETARY POLICY
     CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (61)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2008) View citations (59)
     Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus (2008) View citations (55)
     See also Journal Article Learning, expectations formation, and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2008) View citations (59) (2008)
208. WELFARE-MAXIMIZING MONETARY POLICY UNDER PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY
     CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (4)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (2)
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2007) View citations (2)
     2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2007) View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2010) View citations (19) (2010)

2007

209. Forecasting recessions: the puzzle of the enduring power of the yield curve
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (14)
     See also Journal Article Forecasting Recessions: The Puzzle of the Enduring Power of the Yield Curve, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association (2009) View citations (192) (2009)
210. Learning and the Role of Macroeconomic Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates
     2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (19)
211. Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (167)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2007) View citations (151)
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) View citations (20)
     Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2007) View citations (180)
     See also Journal Article Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (172) (2007)

2006

212. Inflation Targeting Under Imperfect Knowledge
     Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile View citations (21)
     Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics (2006) View citations (22)
     CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2006) View citations (36)
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2006) View citations (11)
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (13)
     See also Journal Article Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (25) (2007)
     Chapter Inflation Targeting under Imperfect Knowledge, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, Central Bank of Chile (2007) View citations (42) (2007)
213. Macroeconomic factors in the term structure of interest rates when agents learn
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics View citations (1)
214. Monetary policy in a low inflation economy with learning
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (8)
     See also Journal Article Monetary policy in a low inflation economy with learning, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) View citations (24) (2010)
215. Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (47)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (54)
     See also Chapter Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2008) View citations (101) (2008)

2005

216. Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy
     CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (105)
     Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2003) View citations (25)
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) View citations (13)
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2003) View citations (16)
     See also Journal Article Inflation scares and forecast-based monetary policy, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2005) View citations (108) (2005)
217. Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (340)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2005) View citations (111)
     See also Chapter Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (179) (2006)
218. Monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (16)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2005) View citations (8)
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics (2001) View citations (4)
     See also Journal Article Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge, Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2006) View citations (76) (2006)
219. The Decline of Activist Stabilization Policy: Natural Rate Misperceptions, Learning and Expectations
     CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (184)
     Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics (2004) View citations (20)
     CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2004) View citations (19)
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) View citations (10)
     Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2004) View citations (25)
     International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2004) View citations (5)
     See also Journal Article The decline of activist stabilization policy: Natural rate misperceptions, learning, and expectations, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2005) View citations (144) (2005)

2004

220. Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2002) View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2005) View citations (42) (2005)
221. Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (8)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2004) View citations (84)
     See also Journal Article Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2007) View citations (87) (2007)
222. Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (6)
     See also Journal Article Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (4) (2006)
223. Transition Dynamics in Vintage Capital Models: Explaining the Postwar Catch-Up of Germany and Japan
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (23)
     Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (2001) View citations (20)
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2004) View citations (16)
     Boston University - Department of Economics - The Institute for Economic Development Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics (2001) View citations (15)
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2001) View citations (13)
224. Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (4)
     See also Journal Article Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2005) View citations (32) (2005)

2003

225. Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (130)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2002) View citations (19)
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2002) View citations (53)
     CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) View citations (82)
     See also Chapter Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) View citations (87) (2004)
226. Inflation Scares and Monetary Policy
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics View citations (14)
227. Parameter Uncertainty and the Central Bank's Objective Function
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics View citations (18)
228. Robust Monetary Policy with Competing Reference Models
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics View citations (224)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) View citations (207)
     See also Journal Article Robust monetary policy with competing reference models, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2003) View citations (239) (2003)
229. Robust monetary policy rules with unknown natural rates
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (122)
     Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2002) View citations (145)
     See also Journal Article Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution (2002) View citations (290) (2002)
230. The performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules under model uncertainty
     CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) View citations (266)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2001) View citations (35)
     Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society (2000) View citations (5)
     Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2001) View citations (42)
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2000, Society for Computational Economics (2000) View citations (6)
     See also Journal Article The Performance of Forecast-Based Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2003) View citations (305) (2003)
231. The responses of wages and prices to technology shocks
     Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (9)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2003) View citations (47)

2001

232. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest
     Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics View citations (55)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2001) View citations (47)
     See also Journal Article Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2003) View citations (770) (2003)

1999

233. Implications of the Zero Bound on Interest Rates for the Design of Monetary Policy Rules
     Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics View citations (3)
234. Simple rules for monetary policy
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (103)
     See also Journal Article Simple rules for monetary policy, Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) View citations (38) (2003)
235. The Performance of Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty
     Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics View citations (9)
236. Three lessons for monetary policy in a low inflation era
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (69)
     See also Journal Article Three lessons for monetary policy in a low-inflation era, Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (2000) View citations (436) (2000)
237. Too Much of a Good Thing? The Economics of Investment in R&D
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (18)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1995) View citations (3)
     Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics View citations (56)
     Working Papers, Harvard - Institute for International Development (1996) View citations (9)
     Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics View citations (9)
     Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics (1999) View citations (20)
     See also Journal Article Too Much of a Good Thing? The Economics of Investment in R&D, Journal of Economic Growth, Springer (2000) View citations (427) (2000)
238. What's happened to the Phillips curve?
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (55)

1998

239. Investment, capacity, and output: a putty-clay approach
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (3)
240. Putty-Clay and Investment: A Business Cycle Analysis
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) View citations (31)
     See also Journal Article Putty-Clay and Investment: A Business Cycle Analysis, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2000) View citations (128) (2000)
241. Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (123)
     Also in Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) View citations (209)
     See also Chapter Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1999) View citations (379) (1999)

1997

242. Expectations, learning and the costs of disinflation: experiments using the FRB/US model
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (16)
243. Measuring the social return to R&D
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (15)
     Also in Working Papers, Stanford University, Department of Economics View citations (21)
     See also Journal Article Measuring the Social Return to R&D, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (1998) View citations (480) (1998)

1995

244. The limits to \"growing an economy.\"
     Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Journal Articles

2022

1. A new approach to assess inflation expectations anchoring using strategic surveys
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022, 129, (S), S82-S101 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper A New Approach to Assess Inflation Expectations Anchoring Using Strategic Surveys, Staff Reports (2022) View citations (16) (2022)

2021

2. What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices
   American Economic Review, 2021, 111, (8), 2473-2505 View citations (9)
   See also Working Paper What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices, Working Paper Series (2020) View citations (18) (2020)

2020

3. The Research–Policy Nexus: ZLB, JMCB, and FOMC
   Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2020, 52, (S2), 601-605

2019

4. J.C. Williams, When the United States Sneezes…
   Journal of International Money and Finance, 2019, 95, (C), 185-188 View citations (1)
5. Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates
   AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2019, 109, 427-32 View citations (76)
   See also Working Paper Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates, Working Paper Series (2019) View citations (33) (2019)

2018

6. Expecting the Expected: Staying Calm When the Data Meet the Forecasts
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2018
   See also Working Paper Expecting the Expected: Staying Calm When the Data Meet the Forecasts, Speech (2018) (2018)
7. Supporting Strong, Steady, and Sustainable Growth
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2018
   See also Working Paper Supporting Strong, Steady, and Sustainable Growth, Speech (2018) (2018)
8. The Future Fortunes of R-star: Are They Really Rising?
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2018 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper The Future Fortunes of R-star: Are They Really Rising?, Speech (2018) View citations (3) (2018)

2017

9. Interest Rates and the \\"New Normal\\"
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017
10. Looking Back, Looking Ahead
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017
    See also Working Paper Looking Back, Looking Ahead, Speech (2017) View citations (3) (2017)
11. Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants
    Journal of International Economics, 2017, 108, (S1), S59-S75 View citations (556)
    See also Working Paper Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants, Working Paper Series (2016) View citations (123) (2016)
    Chapter Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants, NBER Chapters, 2016 (2016) View citations (184) (2016)
12. Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook: A Fine Balancing Act
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy and the Economic Outlook: A Fine Balancing Act, Speech (2017) (2017)
13. Monetary Policy's Role in Fostering Sustainable Growth
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy’s Role in Fostering Sustainable Growth, Speech (2017) (2017)
14. Preparing for the Next Storm: Reassessing Frameworks and Strategies in a Low R-star World
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017 View citations (15)
15. The Global Growth Slump: Causes and Consequences
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017 View citations (3)
16. The Perennial Problem of Predicting Potential
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017 View citations (4)
17. Three Questions on R-star
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017 View citations (6)

2016

18. A wedge in the dual mandate: Monetary policy and long-term unemployment
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2016, 47, (PA), 5-18 View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper A Wedge in the Dual Mandate: Monetary Policy and Long-Term Unemployment, Working Paper Series (2014) View citations (2) (2014)
19. After the first rate hike
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
    See also Working Paper After the first rate hike, Speech (2016) View citations (1) (2016)
20. Data dependence awakens
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
21. Economic outlook: springtime is on my mind
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
22. Longview: The Economic Outlook
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
23. Monetary Policy in a Low R-star World
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016 View citations (38)
24. Rules of engagement
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
    See also Working Paper Rules of engagement, Speech (2016) (2016)
25. The right profile: economic drivers and the outlook
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
    See also Working Paper The right profile: economic drivers and the outlook, Speech (2016) (2016)

2015

26. An overview of our 2015 Annual Report. John Williams, president and chief executive officer, and Mark Gould, first vice president, welcome you to the San Francisco Fed’s 2015 annual report, “What We’ve Learned…and why it matters”
    Annual Report, 2015, 02-02 View citations (2)
27. China in the global economy. SF Fed President John Williams talks with Zheng Liu, Mark Spiegel, and Fernanda Nechio of the international research team about China's economic slowdown and how it's affecting global economic activity
    Annual Report, 2015, 07-07
28. Dancing days are here again: the long road back to maximum employment
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015
    See also Working Paper Dancing days are here again: the long road back to maximum employment, Speech (2015) (2015)
29. Health and prosperity. Health and community prosperity are intrinsically linked. SF Fed Community Development’s Ian Galloway sits down with President John Williams to discuss the issue
    Annual Report, 2015, 06-06
30. Looking forward: the path for monetary policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015
31. Macroprudential policy in a microprudential world
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Macroprudential policy in a microprudential world, Speech (2015) View citations (11) (2015)
32. Measuring monetary policy’s effect on house prices
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015 View citations (2)
33. Monetary policy and the independence dilemma
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Monetary policy and the independence dilemma, Speech (2015) View citations (4) (2015)
34. Redefining the labor market. SF Fed economists Rob Valletta, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, and Mary C. Daly share their thoughts on the U.S. labor market with fellow economist President John Williams
    Annual Report, 2015, 08-08
35. Regional influences on monetary policy. SF Fed Branch Managers Robin Rockwood, Steve Walker, and Roger Replogle talk with President John Williams about ensuring the diverse industries and geographies within our District have a voice
    Annual Report, 2015, 10-10
36. The Decline in the Natural Rate of Interest
    Business Economics, 2015, 50, (2), 57-60 View citations (32)
37. The economic outlook: live long and prosper
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015
    See also Working Paper The economic outlook: live long and prosper, Speech (2015) (2015)
38. The fragility of finances. SF Fed Community Development's David Erickson and Laura Choi sit down with President John Williams to discuss the fragility of American household finances and how to get more families on the road to economic opportunity
    Annual Report, 2015, 04-04
39. The fragility of finances. SF Fed Community Development's Laura Choi talks with President John Williams about creative placemaking, a neighborhood revitalization strategy that engages local artists and performers
    Annual Report, 2015, 05-05
40. The recovery’s final frontier?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015
    See also Working Paper The recovery’s final frontier?, Speech (2015) (2015)
41. The view from here: outlook and monetary policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015
42. Transforming financial services. Banking supervision’s Tracy Basinger explains why the intersection of finance and technology–fintech–is a matter of great importance and interest to the Fed
    Annual Report, 2015, 09-09
43. What we’ve learned... and why it matters. 2015 Annual Report President's Letter
    Annual Report, 2015, 01-01

2014

44. Does college matter?
    Annual Report, 2014, (1), 1-24
45. Financial stability and monetary policy: happy marriage or untenable union?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Financial stability and monetary policy: happy marriage or untenable union?, Speech (2014) View citations (15) (2014)
46. Housing, banking, and the recovery: the outlook
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014
    See also Working Paper Housing, banking, and the recovery: the outlook, Speech (2014) (2014)
47. Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates
    American Economic Review, 2014, 104, (10), 3154-85 View citations (424)
    See also Working Paper Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates, NBER Working Papers (2014) View citations (415) (2014)
48. Navigating toward normal: the future for policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014
49. Policy rules in practice
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, 49, (C), 151-153 View citations (5)
50. The economic recovery and monetary policy: the road back to ordinary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper The economic recovery and monetary policy: the road back to ordinary, Speech (2014) View citations (1) (2014)

2013

51. A defense of moderation in monetary policy
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2013, 38, (PB), 137-150 View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper A Defense of Moderation in Monetary Policy, Working Paper Series (2013) View citations (21) (2013)
52. Bubbles Tomorrow and Bubbles Yesterday, but Never Bubbles Today&quest
    Business Economics, 2013, 48, (4), 224-230 View citations (24)
53. Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (sept23) View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Bubbles tomorrow and bubbles yesterday, but never bubbles today?, Speech (2013) View citations (11) (2013)
54. Economic outlook: moving in the right direction
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (may20)
55. Monetary policy in uncertain times
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (jan21) View citations (3)
56. Rebalancing the economy: a tale of two countries
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (nov12)
    See also Working Paper Rebalancing the economy: a tale of two countries, Speech (2013) View citations (1) (2013)
57. The San Francisco Fed and the West: a century of reinvention
    Annual Report, 2013, (1), 1-9
58. The economic recovery: past, present, and future
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (july1)
    See also Working Paper The economic recovery: past, present, and future, Speech (2013) (2013)
59. The economy and Fed policy: follow the demand
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (feb25) View citations (1)
60. Will unconventional policy be the new normal?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (oct7) View citations (5)

2012

61. Cash is dead! Long live cash!: annual report essay
    Annual Report, 2012 View citations (3)
62. Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, 47-82 View citations (249)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, (s1), 47-82 (2012) View citations (50)
    See also Working Paper Have we underestimated the likelihood and severity of zero lower bound events?, Working Paper Series (2011) View citations (68) (2011)
63. Monetary policy, money, and inflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (july9) View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Monetary policy, money, and inflation, Speech (2012) View citations (12) (2012)
64. The Federal Reserve and the economic recovery
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (jan17)
    See also Working Paper The Federal Reserve and the economic recovery, Speech (2012) View citations (2) (2012)
65. The Federal Reserve’s unconventional policies
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (nov13) View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper The Federal Reserve's unconventional policies, Speech (2012) View citations (11) (2012)
66. The economic outlook and Federal Reserve policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (oct1)
67. The outlook and monetary policy challenges
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (july23)
68. The slow recovery: it’s not just housing
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (apr9)

2011

69. Economics instruction and the brave new world of monetary policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (june6) View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Economics instruction and the brave new world of monetary policy, Speech (2011) View citations (4) (2011)
70. Estimating the macroeconomic effects of the Fed’s asset purchases
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (jan31) View citations (12)
71. Maintaining price stability in a global economy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (may9)
    See also Working Paper Maintaining price stability in a global economy, Speech (2011) View citations (2) (2011)
72. Monetary Policy and Housing Booms
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2011, 7, (1), 345-355 View citations (24)
73. Opening the temple: annual report essay
    Annual Report, 2011
74. Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (oct3) View citations (38)
    See also Working Paper Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years, Speech (2011) View citations (32) (2011)
75. What is the new normal unemployment rate?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (feb14) View citations (18)

2010

76. Comment
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2010, 6, (1), 48 - 52
77. Monetary policy in a low inflation economy with learning
    Economic Review, 2010, 1-12 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Monetary policy in a low inflation economy with learning, Working Paper Series (2006) View citations (8) (2006)
78. The Zero Lower Bound: Lessons from the Past Decade
    NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, 2010, 6, (1), 367 - 375 View citations (5)
    See also Chapter The Zero Lower Bound: Lessons from the Past Decade, NBER Chapters, 2010, 367-375 (2010) (2010)
79. The shape of things to come
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010, (may17)
80. Welfare-maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2010, 25, (1), 129-143 View citations (19)
    Also in Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2010, 25, (1), 129-143 (2010) View citations (8)
    Proceedings, 2007 (2007) View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper WELFARE-MAXIMIZING MONETARY POLICY UNDER PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY, CAMA Working Papers (2008) View citations (4) (2008)

2009

81. A Black Swan in the Money Market
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2009, 1, (1), 58-83 View citations (285)
    Also in Proceedings, 2009, (Jan) (2009) View citations (238)
    See also Working Paper A Black Swan in the Money Market, NBER Working Papers (2008) View citations (109) (2008)
82. Forecasting Recessions: The Puzzle of the Enduring Power of the Yield Curve
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 27, (4), 492-503 View citations (192)
    See also Working Paper Forecasting recessions: the puzzle of the enduring power of the yield curve, Working Paper Series (2007) View citations (14) (2007)
83. Heeding Daedalus: Optimal Inflation and the Zero Lower Bound
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2009, 40, (2 (Fall)), 1-49 View citations (112)
    See also Working Paper Heeding Daedalus: Optimal inflation and the zero lower bound, Working Paper Series (2009) View citations (76) (2009)
84. How big is the output gap?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (jun12) View citations (15)
85. The risk of deflation
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (mar27) View citations (8)

2008

86. Learning, expectations formation, and the pitfalls of optimal control monetary policy
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (Supplement 1), S80-S96 View citations (59)
    See also Working Paper LEARNING, EXPECTATIONS FORMATION, AND THE PITFALLS OF OPTIMAL CONTROL MONETARY POLICY, CAMA Working Papers (2008) View citations (61) (2008)

2007

87. Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge
    Economic Review, 2007, 1-23 View citations (25)
    See also Chapter Inflation Targeting under Imperfect Knowledge, Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, 2007, 11, 077-123 (2007) View citations (42) (2007)
    Working Paper Inflation Targeting Under Imperfect Knowledge, Working Papers Central Bank of Chile (2006) View citations (21) (2006)
88. Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (8), 2421-2438 View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper Learning and shifts in long-run productivity growth, Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (8) (2004)
89. Monetary policy, transparency, and credibility: conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (may25) View citations (3)
90. Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (5), 1406-1435 View citations (172)
    See also Working Paper Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge, Working Paper Series (2007) View citations (167) (2007)

2006

91. Inflation persistence in an era of well-anchored inflation expectations
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (oct13) View citations (34)
92. Labor markets and the macroeconomy: conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (jul21)
93. Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2006, 4, (2-3), 366-375 View citations (76)
    See also Working Paper Monetary policy with imperfect knowledge, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2005) View citations (16) (2005)
94. Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change
    Economic Review, 2006, 1-16 View citations (4)
    Also in Proceedings, 2005, 53-81 (2005) View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change, Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (6) (2004)

2005

95. Expectations, learning and monetary policy
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1807-1808 View citations (21)
96. Fiscal and monetary policy: conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (jun10)
97. Inflation scares and forecast-based monetary policy
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 498-527 View citations (108)
    See also Working Paper Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy, CEPR Discussion Papers (2005) View citations (105) (2005)
98. Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (1), 1-27 View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper Investment, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Putty-Clay Approach, NBER Working Papers (2004) (2004)
99. The decline of activist stabilization policy: Natural rate misperceptions, learning, and expectations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1927-1950 View citations (144)
    Also in Proceedings, 2003 (2003) View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper The Decline of Activist Stabilization Policy: Natural Rate Misperceptions, Learning and Expectations, CEPR Discussion Papers (2005) View citations (184) (2005)
100. Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 2005, 52, (5), 855-879 View citations (32)
     See also Working Paper Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument, Working Paper Series (2004) View citations (4) (2004)

2004

101. Technology, productivity, and public policy
     FRBSF Economic Letter, 2004, (mar12)

2003

102. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest
     The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 85, (4), 1063-1070 View citations (770)
     See also Working Paper Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest, Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 (2001) View citations (55) (2001)
103. Robust monetary policy with competing reference models
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (5), 945-975 View citations (239)
     See also Working Paper Robust Monetary Policy with Competing Reference Models, Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 (2003) View citations (224) (2003)
104. Simple rules for monetary policy
     Economic Review, 2003, 1-12 View citations (38)
     See also Working Paper Simple rules for monetary policy, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1999) View citations (103) (1999)
105. The Performance of Forecast-Based Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty
     American Economic Review, 2003, 93, (3), 622-645 View citations (305)
     See also Working Paper The performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules under model uncertainty, CFS Working Paper Series (2003) View citations (266) (2003)
106. The natural rate of interest
     FRBSF Economic Letter, 2003, (oct31) View citations (27)

2002

107. Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates
     Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2002, 33, (2), 63-146 View citations (290)
     See also Working Paper Robust monetary policy rules with unknown natural rates, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2003) View citations (122) (2003)

2000

108. Putty-Clay and Investment: A Business Cycle Analysis
     Journal of Political Economy, 2000, 108, (5), 928-960 View citations (128)
     See also Working Paper Putty-Clay and Investment: A Business Cycle Analysis, NBER Working Papers (1998) View citations (8) (1998)
109. Three lessons for monetary policy in a low-inflation era
     Conference Series ; [Proceedings], 2000, 936-978 View citations (436)
     See also Working Paper Three lessons for monetary policy in a low inflation era, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1999) View citations (69) (1999)
110. Too Much of a Good Thing? The Economics of Investment in R&D
     Journal of Economic Growth, 2000, 5, (1), 65-85 View citations (427)
     See also Working Paper Too Much of a Good Thing? The Economics of Investment in R&D, NBER Working Papers (1999) View citations (18) (1999)

1999

111. Aggregate disturbances, monetary policy, and the macroeconomy: the FRB/US perspective
     Federal Reserve Bulletin, 1999, 85, (Jan), 1-19 View citations (81)

1998

112. Implementing price stability bands, boundaries and inflation targeting
     Proceedings, 1998, (Mar) View citations (6)
113. Measuring the Social Return to R&D
     The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1998, 113, (4), 1119-1135 View citations (480)
     See also Working Paper Measuring the social return to R&D, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1997) View citations (15) (1997)

1997

114. The evolution of macro models at the Federal Reserve Board
     Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1997, 47, (1), 43-81 View citations (169)
     See also Working Paper The Evolution of Macro Models at the Federal Reserve Board, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2019) View citations (42) (2019)
115. The role of expectations in the FRB/US macroeconomic model
     Federal Reserve Bulletin, 1997, 83, (Apr), 227-245 View citations (94)

Chapters

2023

1. Effective dialogue and well anchored inflation expectations: essential tools for navigating challenging times
   A chapter in Central banking in the Americas: Lessons from two decades, 2023, vol. 143, pp 149-162

2016

2. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants
   A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2016, 2016 View citations (184)
   See also Working Paper Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2016) View citations (123) (2016)
   Journal Article Measuring the natural rate of interest: International trends and determinants, Elsevier (2017) View citations (556) (2017)
3. Measuring the effects of monetary policy on house prices and the economy
   A chapter in Expanding the boundaries of monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, 2016, vol. 88, pp 7-16 View citations (15)
   See also Working Paper Measuring the effects of monetary policy on house prices and the economy, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
4. Panel on Independence, Accountability, and Transparency in Central Bank Governance
   Chapter 6 in Central bank Governance & Oversight Reform, 2016

2013

5. Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany
   A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2013, 2013, pp 2-21 View citations (13)
   See also Working Paper Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2013) View citations (8) (2013)
6. Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations
   A chapter in The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, 2013, pp 255-288 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Monetary Policy Mistakes and the Evolution of Inflation Expectations, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) View citations (11) (2011)

2010

7. Comment on "Free Flows, Limited Diversification: Openness and the Fall and Rise of Stock Market Correlations, 1890-2001"
   A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, 2010, pp 48-51
8. Simple and Robust Rules for Monetary Policy
   Chapter 15 in Handbook of Monetary Economics, 2010, vol. 3, pp 829-859 View citations (154)
   See also Working Paper Simple and Robust Rules for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (154) (2010)
9. The Zero Lower Bound: Lessons from the Past Decade
   A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, 2010, pp 367-375
   See also Journal Article The Zero Lower Bound: Lessons from the Past Decade, University of Chicago Press (2010) View citations (5) (2010)
10. Wrap-up Discussion
    A chapter in Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, 2010

2009

11. Imperfect Knowledge and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy
    Chapter 4 in Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, 2009, vol. 13, pp 115-144 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Imperfect Knowledge And The Pitfalls Of Optimal Control Monetary Policy, Central Bank of Chile (2008) View citations (6) (2008)

2008

12. Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections
    A chapter in Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, 2008, pp 247-289 View citations (101)
    See also Working Paper Revealing the Secrets of the Temple: The Value of Publishing Central Bank Interest Rate Projections, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (47) (2006)

2007

13. Inflation Targeting under Imperfect Knowledge
    Chapter 4 in Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting, 2007, vol. 11, pp 077-123 View citations (42)
    See also Journal Article Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (25) (2007)
    Working Paper Inflation Targeting Under Imperfect Knowledge, Central Bank of Chile (2006) View citations (21) (2006)

2006

14. Monetary Policy under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2005, Volume 20, 2006, pp 229-312 View citations (179)
    See also Working Paper Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty in Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Models, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) View citations (340) (2005)

2004

15. Discussion of 'A Snapshot of Inflation Targeting in its Adolescence'
    A chapter in The Future of Inflation Targeting, 2004
16. Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy
    A chapter in The Inflation-Targeting Debate, 2004 View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations, and Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (130) (2003)

1999

17. Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty
    A chapter in Monetary Policy Rules, 1999, pp 263-318 View citations (379)
    See also Working Paper Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules under Model Uncertainty, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998) View citations (123) (1998)