Three lessons for monetary policy in a low inflation era

David L. Reifschneider and John Williams

No 1999-44, Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: The zero lower bound on nominal interest rates constrains the central bank's ability to stimulate the economy during downturns. We use the FRB/US model to quantify the effects of the bound on macroeconomic stabilization and to explore how policy can be designed to minimize these effects. During particularly severe contractions, open-market operations alone may be insufficient to restore equilibrium; some other stimulus is needed. Abstracting from such rare events, if policy follows the Taylor rule and targets a zero inflation rate, there is a significant increase in the variability of output but not inflation. However, a simple modification to the Taylor rule yields a dramatic reduction in the detrimental effects of the zero bound.

Keywords: Inflation (Finance); Monetary policy; Econometric models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn and nep-mon
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (69)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Three lessons for monetary policy in a low-inflation era (2000)
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