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Economic Review

1968 - 2010

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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Monetary policy in a low inflation economy with learning pp. 1-12 Downloads
John Williams
State business taxes and investment: state-by-state simulations pp. 13-28 Downloads
Bob Chirinko and Daniel Wilson


Regional growth and resilience: evidence from urban IT centers pp. 1-11 Downloads
Jeremy Gerst, Mark Doms and Mary Daly
Do supervisory rating standards change over time? pp. 13-24 Downloads
John Krainer and Jose Lopez


Information and communications technology as a general purpose technology: evidence from U.S. industry data pp. 1-15 Downloads
Susanto Basu and John Fernald
The role of relative performance in bank closure decisions pp. 17-29 Downloads
Kenneth Kasa and Mark Spiegel
The quantity and character of out-of-market small business lending pp. 31-39 Downloads
Elizabeth S. Laderman


Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge pp. 1-23 Downloads
Athanasios Orphanides and John Williams
Inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations in the western hemisphere pp. 25-47 Downloads
Refet Gürkaynak, Andrew Levin, Andrew N. Marder and Eric Swanson
Educational attainment, unemployment, and wage inflation pp. 49-61 Downloads
Mary Daly, Osborne Jackson and Robert Valletta


Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change pp. 1-16 Downloads
John Williams
Financial market signals and banking supervision: are current practices consistent with research findings? pp. 17-29 Downloads
Frederick T. Furlong and Robard Williams
Current account adjustment with high financial integration: a scenario analysis pp. 31-45 Downloads
Michele Cavallo and Cédric Tille


Inflation targeting under commitment and discretion pp. 1-13 Downloads
Richard Dennis
Changes in Twelfth District local banking market structure during a period of industry consolidation pp. 15-27 Downloads
Elizabeth S. Laderman
Fiscal sustainability and contingent liabilities from recent credit expansions in South Korea and Thailand pp. 29-41 Downloads
Diego Valderrama


Performance of urban information technology centers: the boom, the bust, and the future pp. 1-18 Downloads
Mary Daly and Robert Valletta
The boom and bust in information technology investment pp. 19-34 Downloads
Mark Doms
Recent productivity growth: the role of information technology and other innovations pp. 35-42 Downloads
Martin N. Baily


Simple rules for monetary policy pp. 1-12 Downloads
John Williams
Productivity shocks and the unemployment rate pp. 13-27 Downloads
Bharat Trehan
How might financial market information be used for supervisory purposes? pp. 29-45 Downloads
John Krainer and Jose Lopez


The disposition of failed Japanese bank assets: lessons from the U.S. savings and loan crisis pp. 1-15 Downloads
Mark Spiegel
Real-time estimation of trend output and the illusion of interest rate smoothing pp. 17-34 Downloads
Kevin Lansing
Banks, bonds, and the liquidity effect pp. 35-50 Downloads
Tor Einarsson and Milton Marquis
Foreign exchange: macro puzzles, micro tools pp. 51-69 Downloads
Richard Lyons


Five questions about business cycles pp. 1-15 Downloads
Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch
Pegging and stabilization policy in developing countries pp. 17-29 Downloads
Ramon Moreno


Cyclical and demographic influences on the distribution of income in California pp. 1-13 Downloads
Mary Daly and Heather Royer
The separation of banking and commerce pp. 15-24 Downloads
John Krainer


Moral hazard under the Japanese "convoy" banking system pp. 3-13 Downloads
Mark Spiegel
Methods for evaluating value-at-risk estimates pp. 3-17 Downloads
Jose Lopez
House price differentials and dynamics: evidence from the Los Angeles and San Francisco metropolitan areas pp. 3-22 Downloads
Stuart Gabriel, Joe P. Mattey and William Wascher
Real estate liquidity pp. 14-26 Downloads
John Krainer
On the portfolio effects of financial convergence - a review of the literature pp. 18-31 Downloads
Simon Kwan and Elizabeth Laderman
Did a boom in money and credit precede east Asia's recent currency crisis? pp. 23-41 Downloads
Ramon Moreno
Depreciation and recessions in East Asia pp. 27-40 Downloads
Ramon Moreno
Leverage, monetary policy, and firm investment pp. 32-39 Downloads
Charles X. Hu
Should the Fed take deliberate steps to deflate asset price bubbles? pp. 42-52 Downloads
Timothy Cogley


Federal Reserve credibility and inflation scares pp. 3-16 Downloads
Chan G. Huh and Kevin Lansing
Taylor's rule and the Fed, 1970-1997 pp. 3-16 Downloads
John P. Judd and Glenn Rudebusch
Central bank independence and inflation expectations: evidence from British index-linked gilts pp. 3-14 Downloads
Mark Spiegel
Growth and inflation: a cross-country study pp. 15-28 Downloads
Brian Motley
Borrowing constraints and asset market dynamics: evidence from the Pacific Basin pp. 17-28 Downloads
Kenneth Kasa
Disability and work: the experiences of American and German men pp. 17-29 Downloads
Richard Burkhauser and Mary Daly
Changes in the structure and duration of U.S. unemployment, 1967-1998 pp. 29-40 Downloads
Robert Valletta
Forecasting industrial production using models with business cycle asymmetry pp. 29-41 Downloads
Chan Huh
Is mortgage lending by savings associations special? pp. 30-46 Downloads
Elizabeth Laderman and Wayne Passmore


Explaining unemployment: sectoral vs aggregate shocks pp. 3-15 Downloads
Prakash Loungani and Bharat Trehan
Factor utilization and margins for adjusting output: evidence from manufacturing plants pp. 3-17 Downloads
Joe Mattey and Steven Strongin
Evaluating non-structural measures of the business cycle pp. 3-21 Downloads
Timothy Cogley
The effects of industry employment shifts on U.S. wage structure, 1979-1995 pp. 16-32 Downloads
Robert Valletta
A new look at the distributional effects of economic growth during the 1980s: a comparative study of the United States and Germany pp. 18-31 Downloads
Mary Daly, Amy D. Crews and Richard Burkhauser
Long-run trends in labor supply pp. 22-33 Downloads
Brian Motley
Economic factors, monetary policy and expected returns on stocks and bonds pp. 32-42 Downloads
James R. Booth and Lena Chua Booth
Interpreting procyclical productivity: evidence from a cross-nation cross-industry panel pp. 33-52 Downloads
James DeLong and Robert Waldmann
Generational accounting in open economies pp. 34-46 Downloads
Eric Fisher and Kenneth Kasa
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