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Mapping Market Structure Evolution

Maximilian Matthe (), Daniel M. Ringel () and Bernd Skiera
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Maximilian Matthe: Department of Marketing, Faculty of Business and Economics, Goethe University Frankfurt, 60629 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Daniel M. Ringel: Kenan-Flagler Business School, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27599

Marketing Science, 2023, vol. 42, issue 3, 589-613

Abstract: A common element of market structure analysis is the spatial representation of firms’ competitive positions on maps. Such maps typically capture static snapshots in time. Yet, competitive positions tend to change. Embedded in such changes are firms’ trajectories, that is, the series of changes in firms’ positions over time relative to all other firms in a market. Identifying these trajectories contributes to market structure analysis by providing a forward-looking perspective on competition, revealing firms’ (re)positioning strategies and indicating strategy effectiveness. To unlock these insights, we propose EvoMap, a novel dynamic mapping framework that identifies firms’ trajectories from high-frequency and potentially noisy data. We validate EvoMap via extensive simulations and apply it empirically to study the trajectories of more than 1,000 publicly listed firms over 20 years. We find substantial changes in several firms’ positioning strategies, including Apple, Walmart, and Capital One. Because EvoMap accommodates a wide range of mapping methods, analysts can easily apply it in other empirical settings and to data from various sources.

Keywords: market structure analysis; market evolution; mapping; trajectories (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mksc.2022.1385 (application/pdf)

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