Erholung in der EU – Taucher in der Schweiz

Klaus Abberger, Yngve Abrahamsen (), Florian Chatagny, Andreas Dibiasi, Dirk Drechsel (), Michael Graff, Florian Hälg (), Jochen Hartwig, David Iselin, Heiner Mikosch, Stefan Neuwirth (), Alexander Rathke (), Anna Sandqvist, Samad Sarferaz (), Michael Siegenthaler, Boriss Siliverstovs, Banu Simmons-Süer (), Anne Stücker () and Jan-Egbert Sturm
Additional contact information
Yngve Abrahamsen: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Dirk Drechsel: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Florian Hälg: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Stefan Neuwirth: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Alexander Rathke: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Samad Sarferaz: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Banu Simmons-Süer: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Anne Stücker: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch

KOF Analysen, 2015, vol. 9, issue 2, 1-27

Abstract: This text presents the economic forecast released by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich on 12 June 2015. After an introduction describing the starting points and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. Then we turn to the international economy and its effects on Switzerland and the Swiss economy in detail. For the latter, we forecast the main demand components of GDP as well as important macroeconomic prices and other key variables, such as employment and unemployment, the price level and the exchange rate. For the 2015/2016 period covered by this forecast, we expect a recession stretching over the first two quarters of 2015. After this, the Swiss economy should recover, but a swift return to the pre-SNB-shock growth rates is not expected.

Keywords: Switzerland; business cycle; macroeconomic forecast (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 E37 F01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kof:anskof:v:9:y:2015:i:2:p:1-27

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