Details about Michael Graff

Access statistics for papers by Michael Graff.

Last updated 2024-06-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pgr148

Working Papers

2022

1. Imputing Monthly Values for Quarterly Time Series. An Application Performed with Swiss Business Cycle Data
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo

2020

2. The Global Economic Barometers: Composite indicators for the world economy
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (5)

2014

3. The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (14)
4. The Swiss "Job Miracle"
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (3)

2012

5. A real time evaluation of employment forecasts in Switzerland
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (6)

2011

6. A composite leading indicator for the Peruvian economy based on the BCRP's monthly business tendency surveys
   Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú View citations (4)
7. Inflation Inequality in Europe
   Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics View citations (3)
8. International business cycles
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (7)

2010

9. Discretionary Fiscal Policy
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (1)
10. The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (9)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2010) View citations (11)

2009

11. The euro and prices: changeover-related inflation and price convergence in the euro area
    European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission View citations (19)

2008

12. Demography, Financial Openness, National Savings and External Balance
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (2)
    Also in MRG Discussion Paper Series, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia View citations (2)
13. Legal Origin and Financial Development: New Evidence for Old Claims? The Creditor Rights Index Revisited
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich
    See also Journal Article Legal origin and financial development: new evidence for old claims? The creditor rights index revisited, International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd (2013) (2013)
14. The Quantity Theory of Money in Historical Perspective
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (4)

2006

15. Myths and Truths: The "Law and Finance Theory" Revisited
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (1)

2005

16. Ein multisektoraler Sammelindikator fuer die Schweizer Konjunktur
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich
    See also Journal Article Ein multisektoraler Sammelindikator für die Schweizer Konjunktur, Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES) (2006) View citations (3) (2006)
17. Internationale Konjunkturverbunde
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (4)
18. Is There an Optimum Level of Financial Activity?
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (1)
19. Law and Finance: Common-law and Civil-law Countries Compared
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (7)

2004

20. Estimates of the output gap in real time: how well have we been doing?
    Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand View citations (25)
21. International Business Cycles: Evidence from Capital Coefficient Based Measures of Capacity Utilisation
    Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings, Econometric Society

2003

22. What determines the finance-growth nexus? An endogenous growth model and empirical evidence
    Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics View citations (4)

2001

23. Does financial activity cause economic growth?
    Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics View citations (1)

1999

24. Financial development and economic growth: A new empirical analysis
    Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics View citations (19)

1998

25. Educational imbalance, socio-economic inequality, political freedom and economic development
    Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics View citations (7)

Undated

26. Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Emerging Economies: An Unobserved Components Approach
    MRG Discussion Paper Series, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia

Journal Articles

2022

1. Composite global indicators from survey data: the Global Economic Barometers
   Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2022, 158, (3), 917-945 View citations (2)

2021

2. Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022 Der Aufschwung ist da – früher und stärker als erwartet
   KOF Analysen, 2021, 15, (2), 1-26
3. Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021/ 2022. Schweizer Wirtschaft erholt sich – Coronavirus bleibt Taktgeber
   KOF Analysen, 2021, 15, (1), 1-64
4. Schweiz — EU: Weiter Bilaterale oder Schwexit?
   (Switzerland — EU: Bilaterals or Schwexit?)
   Wirtschaftsdienst, 2021, 101, (9), 672-672

2020

5. Editorial
   Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2020, 16, (2), 75-75
6. Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Im Bann des Coronavirus Rezession in Europa und der Schweiz wahrscheinlich
   KOF Analysen, 2020, 14, (1), 1-62
7. Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Zweite Welle lastet auf dem Arbeitsmarkt
   KOF Analysen, 2020, 14, (4), 1-32

2019

8. Industrie stützt Schweizer Konjunktur
   KOF Analysen, 2019, 13, (2), 1-23 View citations (3)
9. Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Schwächephase hält an
   KOF Analysen, 2019, 13, (4), 1-27
10. Prognose 2020/2021. Abschwung der Weltwirtschaft dämpft Schweizer Konjunktur
    KOF Analysen, 2019, 13, (3), 1-80
11. Schweizer Wirtschaft kämpft mit schwierigen Rahmenbedingungen
    KOF Analysen, 2019, 13, (1), 1-70
12. Steuerwettbewerb und sozialräumliche Segregation
    KOF Analysen, 2019, 13, (4), 37-49

2018

13. Aufschwung setzt sich fort
    KOF Analysen, 2018, 12, (2), 1-29
14. Breit abgestützter Aufschwung
    KOF Analysen, 2018, 12, (1), 1-70
15. Konstruktion von Sammelindikatoren für den Konjunkturverlauf bei prekärer Datenlage am Beispiel Montenegros
    KOF Analysen, 2018, 12, (3), 81-91
16. Schweizer Konjunktur im Höhenflug
    KOF Analysen, 2018, 12, (3), 1-73
17. Schweizer Konjunktur verliert an Schwung
    KOF Analysen, 2018, 12, (4), 1-23
18. Using rule-based updating procedures to improve the performance of composite indicators
    Economic Modelling, 2018, 68, (C), 127-144 View citations (11)

2017

19. Der Aufschwung ist da
    KOF Analysen, 2017, 11, (4), 1-30
20. Internationale Impulse beflügeln die Schweizer Wirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2017, 11, (3), 1-102
21. Konjunkturbild verbessert sich weiter
    KOF Analysen, 2017, 11, (2), 1-24
22. Weitere Erholung der Schweizer Wirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2017, 11, (1), 1-74

2016

23. Characteristics and Drivers of the Swiss “Job Miracle”
    Review of Economics, 2016, 67, (1), 53-89
24. Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (4), 1-27
25. Preise fangen sich langsam, verhaltener Konjunkturausblick
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (2), 1-29
26. Schweizer Wirtschaft in turbulentem Umfeld
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (1), 1-72
27. Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (3), 1-108

2015

28. Aufhebung Mindestkurs: Rosskur für Schweizer Wirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (1), 1-78
29. Erholung in der EU – Taucher in der Schweiz
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (2), 1-27
30. Moderates Wachstum, Steigende Arbeitslosigkeit
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (4), 1-27
31. Preissenkungen haben Einbruch abgefedert – Abwertung hellt Aussichten auf
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (3), 1-106

2014

32. Das neue KOF Konjunkturbarometer – Version 2014
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (1), 91-106 View citations (2)
33. Der Sonderfall Schweiz: Verlauf und Bestimmungs faktoren der Lohnquote in der Schweiz, 1980– 2012
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (1), 79-89 View citations (2)
34. General introduction: Short-term forecasting methods joint issue with Économie et Prévision
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2014, 2013, (2), 5-10
35. Robustes Wirtschaftswachstum
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (1), 1-76
36. Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Kurs – dank internationalem Rückenwind
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (4), 1-31
37. Stabiles Wachstum in einem sich verbessernden konjunkturellen Umfeld
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (2), 1-33
38. Warten auf den Aufschwung
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (3), 1-106

2013

39. Die neue Schätzung des schweizerischen Erwerbspersonenpotenzials an der KOF
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (4), 45-56
40. Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (4), 1-29
41. Legal origin and financial development: new evidence for old claims? The creditor rights index revisited
    International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 2013, 6, (4), 326-344
    See also Working Paper Legal Origin and Financial Development: New Evidence for Old Claims? The Creditor Rights Index Revisited, KOF Working papers (2008) (2008)
42. Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (1), 1-74
43. Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (3), 1-102
44. Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (2), 1-29

2012

45. Are there free rides out of a recession? The case of Switzerland
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2012, 26, (1), 27-45
46. Does Demographic Change Affect the Current Account? A Reconsideration
    Global Economy Journal (GEJ), 2012, 12, (4), 1-26 View citations (3)
    Also in Global Economy Journal, 2012, 12, (4), 26 (2012) View citations (3)
47. Internationale Konjunkturverbunde und die Schweiz
    KOF Analysen, 2012, 6, (2), 57-71
48. Présentation générale
    Économie et Prévision, 2012, 199, (1), 1-8

2010

49. Does a multi-sectoral design improve indicator-based forecasts of the GDP growth rate? Evidence from Switzerland
    Applied Economics, 2010, 42, (21), 2759-2781 View citations (2)

2009

50. Diskretionäre Fiskalpolitik: Pro und Kontra
    KOF Analysen, 2009, 3, (2), 25-43 View citations (1)
51. Schätzung der Outputlücke
    KOF Analysen, 2009, 3, (2), 55-67

2008

52. Ein Stimmungsindikator für das Schweizer Kreditgewerbe
    KOF Analysen, 2008, 2, (1), 59-70
53. Law and Finance: Common Law and Civil Law Countries Compared—An Empirical Critique
    Economica, 2008, 75, (297), 60-83 View citations (23)

2006

54. Die Quantitätstheorie des Geldes vom Mittelalter bis zur Gegenwart - Mit einer kurzen Darstellung der Geschichte des Geldes
    Schmollers Jahrbuch : Journal of Applied Social Science Studies / Zeitschrift für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, 2006, 126, (4), 565-603
55. Ein multisektoraler Sammelindikator für die Schweizer Konjunktur
    Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), 2006, 142, (IV), 529–577 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Ein multisektoraler Sammelindikator fuer die Schweizer Konjunktur, KOF Working papers (2005) (2005)
56. Internationale Konjunkturverbunde / International Business Cycles
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2006, 226, (4), 385-417 View citations (3)
57. What Determines the Finance-growth Nexus? Empirical Evidence for Threshold Models
    Journal of Economics, 2006, 87, (2), 127-157 View citations (12)

2005

58. Abstract
    The European Journal of Finance, 2005, 11, (3), 183-205
59. The Swiss Disease: Facts and Artefacts, A Reply to Kehoe and Prescott
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (3), 749-758 View citations (11)

2004

60. Coincident and Leading Indicators of Manufacturing Industry
    Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2004, 2004, (1), 109-131 View citations (10)

2003

61. Estimating and Forecasting Production and Orders in Manufacturing Industry from Business Survey Data: Evidence from Switzerland, 1990-2003
    Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), 2003, 139, (IV), 507-533 View citations (10)
62. Financial Development and Economic Growth in Corporatist and Liberal Market Economies
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2003, 39, (2), 47-69 View citations (24)

2002

63. Causal Links between Financial Activity and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from a Cross-Country Analysis, 1970-1990
    Bulletin of Economic Research, 2002, 54, (2), 119-33 View citations (8)

Editor

1. Journal of Business Cycle Research
   Springer