Preissenkungen haben Einbruch abgefedert – Abwertung hellt Aussichten auf

Klaus Abberger, Yngve Abrahamsen (), Florian Chatagny, Andreas Dibiasi, Anne Kathrin Funk, Michael Graff, Florian Hälg (), Jochen Hartwig, David Iselin, Heiner Mikosch, Stefan Neuwirth (), Alexander Rathke (), Anna Sandqvist, Samad Sarferaz (), Michael Siegenthaler, Boriss Siliverstovs, Banu Simmons-Süer (), Anne Stücker () and Jan-Egbert Sturm
Additional contact information
Yngve Abrahamsen: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Florian Hälg: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Stefan Neuwirth: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Alexander Rathke: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Samad Sarferaz: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Banu Simmons-Süer: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch
Anne Stücker: KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, http://www.kof.ethz.ch

KOF Analysen, 2015, vol. 9, issue 3, 1-106

Abstract: This text contains the autumn forecast 2015 of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, released on 1 October 2015. The first part discusses recent economic developments abroad and in Switzerland, and presents the main forecast results across the various sectors of the economy. In the second part, detailed forecasts for Switzerland follow, split up into the main demand components of GDP. We expect the Swiss economy to grow by 0.9% in 2015, 1.4% in 2016 and 1.8% in 2017, respectively, representing a small upward revision compared with our last forecast from June 2015. In particular, the positive economic development in Europe and the depreciation of the Swiss franc during the second half of 2015 are specified as reasons for this adjustment. The negative price developments during the first half of 2015 are also newsworthy, as both the general price level and sales prices in certain sectors are falling.

Keywords: Switzerland; business cycle; macroeconomic forecast (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 E37 F01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:kof:anskof:v:9:y:2015:i:3:p:1-106

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