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Global Economic Outlook

Barry Naisbitt (), Janine Boshoff (), Edmund Cornforth, Paula Bejarano Carbo (), Joanna Nowinska (), Ian Hurst (), Iana Liadze (), Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao and Patricia Sánchez Juanino

National Institute Global Economic Outlook, 2022, issue 8, 6-26

Abstract: The inflationary shock that resulted from Russia;s war in Ukraine, supply chain disruptions and the impact of loose monetary and fiscal policies in response to Covid-19 has intensified over the past three months. Inflation, especially in the major advanced economies, was rising before the war and the sanctions imposed in response to the war contributed to the very steep rise in energy prices. The effects of this economic shock have been to increase inflation and prolong the expected duration of prices' growth. In recent months the rates of headline inflation have hit 9.1 per cent in June and 9.9 per cent in September in the US and Euro Area, respectively (Figure 3), reaching multi-year highs.

Date: 2022
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