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National Institute Global Economic Outlook

2021 - 2022

From National Institute of Economic and Social Research
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Volume Series B, issue 6 Spring, 2022

Foreword: Walking the Line pp. 3 Downloads
Jagjit S. Chadha
National Institute Global Economic Outlook - Walking the Line - Summary pp. 4-5 Downloads
Niesr
Global Economic Outlook pp. 6-23 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao and Patricia Sanchez Juanino
Box A: China's slowdown is structural pp. 24-29 Downloads
Saul Eslake
Box B: War in Ukraine and the options for Europe’s energy supply pp. 30-34 Downloads
Christopher Aitken and Erkal Ersoy
NiGEM Topical Feature: Re-evaluating the Economic Costs of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict in NiGEM pp. 35-45 Downloads
Iana Liadze, Corrado Macchiarelli and Patricia Sanchez Juanino
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 46-51 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 52-60 Downloads
Iana Liadze

Volume Series B, issue 5 Winter, 2022

Foreward: Picking up the pieces pp. 3 Downloads
Jagjit S. Chadha
Executive summary pp. 4 Downloads
Niesr
Inflation prompts policy normalisation pp. 5-20 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Nicole Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Cyrille Lenoel, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sanchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
US Inflation: is it "Back to the Future"? pp. 21-27 Downloads
Paul Mortimer-Lee
Box B: Turkey's unorthodox monetary policy pp. 28-31 Downloads
Turalay Kenc
NiGEM Topical Feature: Monetary Policy Spillovers: the Euro Area and the United States in NiGEM pp. 32-37 Downloads
Iana Liadze, Barry Naisbitt, Corrado Macchiarelli and Patricia Sanchez Juanino
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 38-41 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 42-49 Downloads
Iana Liadze

Volume Series B, issue 4 Autumn, 2021

Foreward: The Needle's Eye pp. 3 Downloads
Jagjit Chadha
Executive summary pp. 4-5 Downloads
Niesr
Slowing growth, rising inflation fears pp. 6-23 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Nicole Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Cyrille Lenoel, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sánchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
Box A: US inflation - peaking soon? pp. 24-31 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Corrado Macchiarelli and Patricia Sánchez Juanino
Box B: Services rebound from the Covid-19 shock pp. 32-37 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt and Kemar Whyte
NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Modelling a sudden largescale global carbon tax shock in NiGEM pp. 38-43 Downloads
Dawn Holland and Kemar Whyte
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 44-47 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 48-55 Downloads
Iana Liadze

Volume Series B, issue 3 Summer, 2021

Foreward pp. 3 Downloads
Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 4 Downloads
Niesr
Inflation fears escalate as GDP returns to its pre-pandemic level pp. 5-22 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Nicole Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Cyrille Lenoel, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sánchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Simulating the effect of the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility in NiGEM pp. 23-33 Downloads
Iana Liadze and Corrado Macchiarelli
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 34-37 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 38-45 Downloads
Iana Liadze

Volume Series B, issue 2 Spring, 2021

Foreward pp. 3 Downloads
Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 4 Downloads
Niesr
Vaccinations and US fiscal stimulus boost growth prospects pp. 5-22 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Cyrille Lenoel, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sánchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Modelling the impact of the American Rescue Plan in NiGEM pp. 23-29 Downloads
Dawn Holland, Patricia Sánchez Juanino, Iana Liadze and Barry Naisbitt
NiGEM Topical Feature 2: Financial spillovers of the American Rescue Plan on emerging markets pp. 30-35 Downloads
Dawn Holland, Hande Kucuk and Corrado Macchiarelli
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 36-39 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 40-47 Downloads
Iana Liadze

Volume Series B, issue 1, 2021

Foreward pp. 3 Downloads
Jagjit Chadha
Overview pp. 4 Downloads
Niesr
The world in its grip: Covid-19 pp. 5-18 Downloads
Barry Naisbitt, Janine Boshoff, Dawn Holland, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Cyrille Lenoel, Corrado Macchiarelli, Xuxin Mao, Patricia Sánchez Juanino, Craig Thamotheram and Kemar Whyte
NiGEM Topical Feature 1: Trade and the unequal race to the Covid-19 vaccine pp. 19-25 Downloads
Dawn Holland, Corrado Macchiarelli and Xuxin Mao
NiGEM Topical Feature 2: Modelling the change in US monetary policy framework in NiGEM pp. 26-31 Downloads
Dawn Holland, Hande Kucuk and Cyrille Lenoel
Appendix A: Summary of key forecast assumptions pp. 32-35 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Appendix B: Forecast detail pp. 36-43 Downloads
Iana Liadze
Page updated 2022-06-24