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Volatility and growth: a not so straightforward relationship

Dimitrios Bakas (), Georgios Chortareas and Georgios Magkonis ()

Oxford Economic Papers, 2019, vol. 71, issue 4, 874-907

Abstract: Conflicting theoretical models and diverse empirical evidence characterize research analysing the relationship between business cycle volatility and economic growth. While the average reported effect of volatility on growth is negative, the empirical estimates vary substantially across studies. We identify the factors that explain this heterogeneity in estimates by conducting a meta-analysis. Our evidence suggests that researchers’ choices regarding the measure of volatility, the control set of the estimated equation, the estimation methods, and the data characteristics can all explain the differences in the reported estimates. Finally, the literature is found to be free of publication bias.

JEL-codes: C83 E32 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Working Paper: Volatility and Growth: A not so Straightforward Relationship (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Volatility and Growth: A not so straightforward relationship (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: Volatility and Growth: A not so straightforward relationship (2017) Downloads
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